Journal of the Operations Research Society of Japan
Online ISSN : 2188-8299
Print ISSN : 0453-4514
ISSN-L : 0453-4514
OPTIMAL TIMING FOR SHORT COVERING OF AN ILLIQUID SECURITY
Tsz-Kin ChungKeiichi Tanaka
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2015 Volume 58 Issue 2 Pages 165-183

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Abstract

We formulate a short-selling strategy of a stock and seek the optimal timing of short covering in the presence of a random recall and a loan fee rate in an illiquid stock loan market. The aim is to study how the optimal trading strategy of the short-seller is influenced by the relevant features of the stock loan market. We characterize the optimal timing of short covering depending on the conditions that lead to different costs and benefits of keeping the position. Depending on the parameters, not only a put-type problem but also a call-type problem emerges. The solution to the optimal stopping problem is obtained in a closed form. We present explicitly what actions the investor should take. A comparative analysis is conducted with numerical examples.

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© 2015 The Operations Research Society of Japan
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