給水・給湯負荷の計測と時系列解析を用いた時間負荷変動の予測 : 集合住宅における給水負荷変動の予測に関する研究

抄録

In these days, design of water supply system need high pressure water works on quality management for receiving tank in building. So it has been necessary for building management to forecast the change of water consumption in building. But, there are very few studies considering life cycle cost for water supply system in buildings. In this paper, at first, the authors have investigated in detail for the loads of cold and hot water supply in apartment houses by using a new technics of measurment, and analyzed the demand fluctuations by specific use considering time span. Finally, time series models were identified and estimated, and then according to time series analysis, the hourly load profile were forecasted in each day.