Correspondence to: Md. Golam Hossain, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, University of Malaya, Lembah Pantai, Kuala Lumpur 50603, Malysia. E-mail: hossain95@yahoo.com

Published online 21 January 2010 in J-STAGE (www.jstage.jst.go.jp) DOI: 10.1537/ase.091022


Index
Introduction
Materials and Methods
Results
Multiple regression analysis
Logistic regression analysis
Stepwise regression analysis
Discussion and Conclusions
References

Introduction

The cephalic index (CI) is the ratio of head breadth to head length, i.e. a numeric expression for the relation between the greatest length and the greatest breadth of the cranium. It presumably reflects brain size, i.e. the longest head length defining the greatest anterior–posterior diameter of the cranium and the widest breadth representing the greatest transverse diameter of the cranium. If the cranium is shorter but relatively broader, the head is brachycephalic (round-headed) and if the cranium is long but relatively narrower, the head is dolichocephalic (long-headed).

Weidenreich (1945) was one of the first researchers to utilize the CI. After Weidenreich (1945), many researchers worldwide have described CIs (e.g. Abbie, 1947; Bear, 1956; Roche et al., 1961; Bielicki and Welon, 1964; Huizinga and Slob, 1965; Jorgensen et al., 1974; Skrobak-Kaczynski et al., 1977; Bharati et al., 2001).

In Japan, Suzuki (1956) reported that the medieval Japanese population was long-headed, with a broad face and strong prognathism. After Suzuki (1956), many researchers (e.g. Suzuki, 1967, 1969; Morita and Ohtsuki, 1973; Yanagisawa and Kondo, 1973; Ohtsuki and Ito, 1980; Kouchi, 1986; Kondo et al., 1999; Hossain et al., 2004, 2005) described the Japanese head form using the CI. Some researchers reported that progressive brachycephalization has been present since the Kamakura era (1192–1333), and the rate of increase in the CI of Japanese adults in the last hundred years has been extremely high. Recently, Kouchi (2000) and Hossain et al. (2004, 2005) found that the increase in CI in Japanese was mainly affected by the increase of head breadth. CI is a ratio of head breadth and head length; obviously these two measurements are related to CI. It is necessary to know which craniofacial measurements (except head breadth and head length) are related to CI. However, our knowledge of the impact of craniofacial measurements on the CI is very limited.

The purpose of the present study was to identify those craniofacial measurements that influence the head form (CI) of Japanese adult female students.


Materials and Methods

The total sample used in the current study consisted of 832 healthy Japanese adult female students. The subjects were all of Japanese birth and ancestry; their ages at time of measurement were 18–25 years, with an average age of 19.29 ± 0.98 years. The measurements were collected from several universities in Tokyo and Kyoto from 1998 to 2001. Various districts of Japan are represented. The craniofacial measurements recorded were: head length, head breadth, head height, head circumference, minimum frontal breadth, bizygomatic breadth, bigonial breadth, and morphological face height; these were all taken by a single observer (F.O.) using the technique of Martin and Saller (1957). In addition, stature and body weight were also measured. The CI was calculated from head breadth and head length:



The present sample was subdivided into six groups according to the type of head form: (1) hyper-dolichocephalic (CI ≤ 71.99), (2) dolichocephalic (72.00 ≤ CI ≤ 76.99), (3) mesocephalic (77.00 ≤ CI ≤ 81.99), (4) brachycephalic (82.00 ≤ CI ≤ 86.49), (5) hyper-brachycephalic (86.50 ≤ CI ≤ 91.99), and (6) ultra-brachycephalic (CI ≥ 92.00) (Table 2).

To examine the average relationship between the CI and the craniofacial measurements, multiple regression analysis was utilized. The underlying multiple linear regression model corresponding to each variable is:



where Y is the response variable (CI), Xi (i = 1, 2, 3,…, k) are the predictor variables (craniofacial measurements), β0 is the intercept term, β1, β2,…, βk are the unknown regression coefficients, and is the error term with a N(0, σ2) distribution.

In multiple regression analysis, an important assumption is that the explanatory variables are independent of each other, i.e. there is no relationship between the explanatory variables to estimate the ordinary least squares (OLS). However, in some applications of regression, the explanatory variables are related each other. This problem is called the multicollinearity problem (Chatterjee and Hadi, 2006). In this study, a variance inflation factor (VIF) was used to check for the multicollinearity problem among the predictor variables. The variance inflation for independent variables Xj is:



where, p is the number of predictor variables and R2j is the square of the multiple correlation coefficient of the jth variable with the remaining (p − 1) variables where:

1) if 0 < VIF < 5, there is no evidence of multicollinearity problem;

2) if 5 ≤ VIF ≤ 10, there is a moderate multicollinearity problem; and

3) if VIF > 10, there is seriously multicollinearity problem of variables.

The present sample was divided into two groups according to roundness of head: (1) long-headed group (CI ≤ 81.99) and (2) round-headed group (CI ≥ 82.00). Roundness of head will be considered as dependent variable and it is categorical; logistic regression was used to find the effect of craniofacial factors on the roundness of head. Finally, stepwise regression was used to choose the most influential craniofacial measures for CI. Stepwise regression is a technique for selecting influential variables in multiple regression models (Chatterjee and Hadi, 2006).

Since CI was derived from head length and head breadth, these two variables were excluded from the analysis in the current study. Statistical analyses were carried out using SPSS software version 15.


Results

It was necessary first to test the CIs for normality. To check the normality of CIs, the Kolmorov–Smirnov normality test was utilized. The Kolmorov–Smirnov normality test showed that there was no problem concerning the normality of CI, because the P-value was greater than 0.05 (Table 1).



To examine the linear relationship between the CI and craniofacial measurements, regression coefficients were computed. Coefficients of linear regression showed that the trend of minimum frontal breadth, bizygomatic breadth, and bigonial breadth were significantly positive with the change of head form towards round, while the head circumference showed a negative tendency (Table 2).



Multiple regression analysis

The multiple regression model used was:



where CI is a response variable and other variables were predictors.

The estimated model was:



The regression coefficients and the VIF of the independent variables are presented in Table 3. The VIF showed that there was no evidence of a multicollinearity problem among the predictor variables. The coefficient of the regression line showed that there was a significant positive association between the CI and minimum frontal breadth (P < 0.01), bizygomatic breadth (P < 0.01) and head height (P < 0.05), while a negative relationship was found between the CI and morphological facial height (P < 0.05), head circumference (P < 0.01) and stature (P < 0.10).



These results suggest that if an individual has larger minimum frontal breadth, bizygomatic breadth of face and head height, as well as shorter morphological facial height, head circumference and stature, then this also leads to a more rounded head form.

Logistic regression analysis

Table 4 shows the means and standard deviations for the craniofacial measurements of the long-headed and round-headed groups. The round-headed group had significantly larger values for minimum frontal breadth, bizygomatic breadth, and bigonial breadth than that of the long-headed group, while the long-headed group had significantly larger values in head circumference, morphological face height, and stature than the round-headed group.



The results of logistic regression analysis are given in Table 5. The coefficients and odds ratio showed that minimum frontal breadth, bizygomatic breadth, and head height were far more likely in the round-headed group, while morphological facial height, head circumference, and stature were less likely in the round-headed group.



The odds ratio as well as the regression coefficients explain that, if an individual is round-headed, then the probability of minimum frontal breadth, bizygomatic breadth, and head height would be greater than that for a long-headed person with a probability of 0.043, 0.255, and 0.023, respectively, while the probability of morphological facial height, head circumference, and stature would be less for the long-headed group with a probability of 0.020, 0.549, and 0.049, respectively.

Stepwise regression analysis

The stepwise regression analysis showed that bizygomatic breadth was included in the first step (Table 6). The R2 value indicated that there was a 11.33% reduction in the total variation of the CI due to the predictor variable of bizygomatic breadth. The second step included both the bizygomatic breadth and head circumference. The R2 value now indicated a 28.89% reduction in the total variation of CI due to these two predictor variables. The third step included bizygomatic breadth, head circumference and minimum frontal breadth with the R2 value, indicating a 30.31% reduction in the total variation in the CI due to these three variables. The fourth step included bizygomatic breadth, head circumference, minimum frontal breadth, and morphological face height with an R2 demonstrating a 30.84% reduction in the total variation of the CI due to these four variables. The fifth step included bizygomatic breadth, head circumference, minimum frontal breadth, morphological face height, and head height with coefficient, which led to a 31.30% reduction in the total variation of the CI, and the final step included bizygomatic breadth, head circumference, minimum frontal breadth, morphological face height, head height, and stature and led to a 31.70% reduction in the total variation of the CI due to these six variables. The value of Mallows’ Cp decreased with each increment and the smallest value (6.7) was found in the final step.



These results demonstrated that the important craniofacial factors that influenced the CI were bizygomatic breadth, head circumference, minimum frontal breadth, morphological face height, and head height.


Discussion and Conclusions

Multiple regression analysis, logistic regression analysis, and stepwise regression analysis were used in the present study to identify important craniofacial measurements that influence the head form (CI) of Japanese adult female students. The above statistical analysis demonstrated that most of the craniofacial measurements (except bigonial breadth) were important factors influencing the CI. The coefficients of the regression line verified that there was a positive relationship between the CI and minimum frontal breadth, bizygomatic breadth, and head height, while a negative relationship was found between the CI and morphological facial height, and head circumference. However, the present findings are based on female data. Previous studies (Kouchi, 2000; Hossain et al., 2004, 2005) demonstrated that males and females showed the same tendency of brachycephalization/debrachycephalization in Japan and head breadth was positively associated with CI for both sexes. As far as we know there are no comparable studies available that document the relationship between the CI and craniofacial measurements; consequently, the present findings cannot be compared to other studies.

Previous studies (Hossain et al., 2004, 2005) and others (Ohtsuki and Ito, 1980; Kouchi, 2000) showed that the association of head breadth (positive) and head length (negative) with the CI. Those results suggested that if head breadth increases and head length decreases, then the head form (CI) becomes more rounded. As mentioned earlier, in this study we excluded head length and head breadth from the analysis.

The medieval Japanese population was long-headed, with a broad face and strong prognathism (Suzuki, 1967). There is now general agreement that recent Japanese adults are brachycephalic in head form (e.g. Yanagisawa and Kondo, 1973; Ohtsuki and Ito, 1980; Ohtsuki and Iwamura, 1980; Kouchi, 1986, 2000; Nakashima, 1986; Kondo et al., 1999; Hossain et al., 2004, 2005). Suzuki (1969), based on his findings, concluded that the prevailing brachycephalization in the Japanese was due to a decrease in head length and an increase in the head breadth. Ivanovsky (1923) and Suzuki (1948) suggested that the soft-tissue structures overlying the cranial bones have changed in response to better nutritional level over time. This may have differentially affected the soft-tissue component of head breadth more than head length. Evidence remains lacking however.

There have been various other suggestions proposed for possible external and internal factors that have influenced head form (CI). For example, genetics (Abbie, 1947), environmental factors (Abbie, 1947; Beals et al., 1983), protein in the diet (Miller, 1970), psychological and physiological stress (Miller, 1970), medical facilities and care (Miller, 1970), natural climate (Crognier, 1981; Beals et al., 1983; Bharati et al., 2001). Other hypotheses about the factors that are potentially related to head form include heterosis (Billy, 1975), socioeconomic status (Schwidetzky, 1973; Pälsson and Schwidetzky, 1973; Miki, 1990) and nutrition or diet (Lasker, 1946). Some researches (Bielicki and Welon, 1964; Henneberg, 1976) believe that the brachycephalic (rounded) head form has been selected as a consequence of evolutionary forces. Presumably, the answer is multifactorial and a combination of various factors. Clearly, more research is required.


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