Circulation Journal
Online ISSN : 1347-4820
Print ISSN : 1346-9843
ISSN-L : 1346-9843
Epidemiology
Incidence, Management and Short-Term Outcome of Stroke in a General Population of 1.4 Million Japanese ― Shiga Stroke Registry ―
Naoyuki TakashimaHisatomi ArimaYoshikuni KitaTakako FujiiNaomi MiyamatsuMasaru KomoriYoshihisa SugimotoSatoru NagataKatsuyuki MiuraKazuhiko Nozaki
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Supplementary material

2017 Volume 81 Issue 11 Pages 1636-1646

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Abstract

Background: This study determined the current status of the incidence, management, and prognosis of stroke in Japan using a population-based stroke registry.

Methods and Results: Shiga Stroke Registry is an ongoing population-based registry that covers approximately 1.4 million residents of Shiga Prefecture. Cases of acute stroke were identified using standard definitions through surveillance of both all acute-care hospitals with neurology/neurosurgery facilities and death certificates in 2011. A total of 2,956 stroke cases and 2,176 first-ever stroke cases were identified. The age- and sex-adjusted incidence rate for first-ever stroke using the 2013 European Standard Population as standard was per 100,000 person-years: 91.3 for ischemic stroke, 36.4 for intracerebral hemorrhage, and 13.7 for subarachnoid hemorrhage. It was estimated that approximately 220,000 new strokes occurred in 2011 in Japan. Among the 2,956 cases, most stroke patients underwent neuroimaging, 268 received surgical or endovascular treatment, and 2,158 had rehabilitation therapy; 78 patients received intravenous thrombolysis. A total of 1,846 stroke patients had died or were dependent at hospital discharge, and 390 died within 28 days of onset.

Conclusions: Incidence rates of stroke by subtypes were clarified and the total number of new strokes in Japan was estimated. More than half of stroke patients die or become dependent after a stroke. This study re-emphasized the importance of public health measures in reducing the burden of stroke in Japan.

In Japan, the age-standardized mortality rate for stroke has rapidly decreased over the past 5 decades.1 However, stroke is still one of the leading causes of death2 and disability.3 Furthermore, because of the rapid aging of the Japanese population, the absolute number of stroke patients is expected to increase. Effective prevention will require a strategy based on accurate knowledge of the current burden of stroke in Japan. However, there exist only a limited number of population-based registries providing information on the current incidence, management, and prognosis of stroke patients in the real-world setting. The aim of the present study was to investigate the current incidence rates, management, and short-term outcomes of stroke using data from a large-scale, population-based stroke registry in Shiga Prefecture, Japan.

Methods

Study Design

The Shiga Stroke Registry (SSR) is an ongoing multicenter population-based registry study designed to build a complete information system for the management of acute ischemic and non-traumatic hemorrhagic stroke in Shiga Prefecture, Japan. Shiga Prefecture is located in the central part of Honshu Island, more than half of whose residents live in an urban area (Keihanshin Metropolitan Area as specified by the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications) (Figure 1). The population of Shiga Prefecture was 1,400,745 (689,859 men and 710,866 women) in the 2011 census. The SSR uses central local coordination and monitoring, combined with remote data collection and quality control systems, to create an integrated surveillance system involving the registration of cases among a network of all acute-care hospitals with neurology/neurosurgery facilities and smaller hospitals with rehabilitation facilities in Shiga Prefecture. Information on the death certificates of all deceased residents is also collected to help detect all cases of stroke, including those leading to rapid death outside hospital, with the approval of the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare. All cases of stroke from January 1 to December 31, 2011, were included in the present analysis. The SSR has been approved by the Institutional Review Board of Shiga University of Medical Science.

Figure 1.

Geographic location of Shiga Prefecture within Japan (black area).

Data Collection

All stroke cases were ascertained by medical record audit by trained investigators. Information on clinical features, including the Japan Coma Scale score4 on admission, neuroimaging, management, post-stroke rehabilitation therapy, and in-hospital outcomes including modified Rankin scale (mRS) score5 at hospital discharge, was also obtained for all stroke cases. Data were extracted from medical records of the 41 hospitals in the study region by trained investigators using electronic Case Record Forms on a tablet computer. These data were gathered in a central, encrypted database located at Shiga University of Medical Science. Variables were checked for completeness and accuracy by the trained staff; any apparent errors and omissions in the data that required clarification generated queries for resolution. Fatal stroke cases were also confirmed from death certificates and/or autopsy reports.

Definition of Stroke and Its Subtypes

Diagnosis of stroke was defined as sudden onset of focal neurological deficits persisting for more than 24 h according to the Monitoring of Trends and Determinants in Cardiovascular Disease (WHO-MONICA) projects.6 Stroke was then classified as ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, subarachnoid hemorrhage, and undetermined type. Ischemic stroke was further divided into 4 clinical categories, namely lacunar infarction, large-artery infarction, cardioembolic infarction, or undetermined type, based on the criteria for the type of stroke in the TOAST study.7 All stroke cases were adjudicated by more than 2 independent investigators. Excellent agreement was observed between investigators (kappa coefficient=0.83 for diagnosis of stroke, 0.93 for stroke subtypes, and 0.85 for ischemic stroke subtypes). For the few cases for which there was a disagreement, more than 3 investigators discussed the cases and consensus was reached in all cases.

Statistical Analysis

The incidence rates of stroke were estimated by the person-year approach (per 100,000 person-years) using 2011 vital statistics. Incidence rates were standardized for age and sex using a direct method with the 2013 European Standard Population.8 We also calculated the age- and sex-standardized incidence rates using the 2010 Japanese population9 as standard and the 2000 World Standard Population (WHO2000).10 Absolute stroke incidence in Japan was estimated using age- and sex-stratified incidence rates and the population of the 2011 Japanese vital statistics. The 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of incidence rates were calculated using a Poisson distribution.

Results

From January 1 to December 31, a total of 3,573 cases were registered from hospital (Figure 2). From these, double-registered cases (766) and residents of other prefectures (95) were excluded. We also identified 375 cases of possible stroke from death certificates (death certificate notification cases). Among these, clinical information was available for 211 patients and stroke diagnoses were confirmed by medical records for 149 of them. Finally, a total of 2,956 cases (2,807 from hospital registry and 149 from death certificate with definite clinical diagnosis) of stroke were identified. There were also 164 patients (5.2%) with death certificate information only who did not have definitive medical information to satisfy the definition of stroke. The total number of stroke cases, including those with death certificate information only, was 3,120 (Figure 2).

Figure 2.

Flow of stroke patients in the Shiga Stroke Registry.

The baseline characteristics and final diagnoses of the 2,956 patients are shown in Table 1. The mean age was 74.1 years, and 46.6% were women. A total of 2,176 patients (73.6%) had their first-ever stroke and 780 (26.4%) had recurrent stroke. The number of patients in each subcategory was 1,948 (65.9%) for ischemic stroke (477 lacunar, 618 large-artery, and 527 cardioembolic infarction), 751 (25.4%) for intracerebral hemorrhage, and 226 (7.6%) for subarachnoid hemorrhage. The total number of stroke patients with atrial fibrillation was 582 (19.7%). Among the ischemic stroke patients, 496 (25.5%) had atrial fibrillation: 16 (3.4%) for lacunar, 35 (5.7%) for large-artery infarction, and 421 (80.5%) for cardioembolic infarction.

Table 1. Characteristics and Final Diagnosis of Patients With Acute Stroke in the Shiga Stroke Registry (n=2,956)
  Median (IQR)
or n (%)
Demographics
 Age (years) 76.2 (65.9–84.0)
 Women 1,377 (46.6)
Risk factors
 Current smoking 562 (19.0)
 Past medical history
  Atrial fibrillation 582 (19.7)
  Coronary artery disease 180 (6.1)
  Pre-stroke disability (mRS ≥2) 826 (27.9)
  Prior stroke 780 (26.4)
   Ischemic stroke 642 (21.7)
   Intracerebral hemorrhage 153 (5.2)
   Subarachnoid hemorrhage 38 (1.3)
  Transient ischemic attack 124 (4.2)
 Medication before onset
  Blood pressure-lowering treatment 1,487 (50.3)
  Oral anticoagulant 286 (9.7)
  Glucose-lowering treatment 455 (15.4)
  Lipid-lowering treatment 443 (15.0)
Clinical features
 First-ever stroke 2,176 (73.6)
 Recurrent stroke 780 (26.4)
  Days from onset to admission 0 (0–1)
  Symptoms
   Unil ateral weakness 1,889 (63.9)
   Dysphasia 1,598 (54.1)
   Sensory deficit 862 (29.2)
  Japan Coma Scale*
   0 1,335 (45.2)
   1–3 740 (25.0)
   10–30 359 (12.1)
   100–300 504 (17.1)
Final diagnosis
 Ischemic stroke 1,948 (65.9)
  Lacunar infarction 477 (24.5)
  Large-artery infarction 618 (31.7)
  Cardioembolic infarction 527 (27.1)
  Other/undetermined 326 (16.7)
 Intracerebral hemorrhage 751 (25.4)
 Subarachnoid hemorrhage 226 (7.6)
 Stroke of unknown type 31 (1.0)

*0 indicates “alert,” 1–3 indicates “possible eye-opening, not lucid,” 10–30 indicates “possible eye-opening upon stimulation,” and 100–300 indicates “no eye-opening and coma.” IQR, interquartile range; mRS, modified Rankin scale.

Incidence rates of stroke and its subtypes are shown in Table 2 and Table 3. The age- and sex-adjusted incidence rate of first-ever stroke using the 2013 European Standard Population as standard was 142.9 per 100,000 person-years (95% CI 123.3–168.5): 91.3 per 100,000 person-years for ischemic stroke (23.4 for lacunar, 28.6 for large-artery, and 22.5 for cardioembolic infarction), 36.4 for intracerebral hemorrhage, and 14.3 for subarachnoid hemorrhage (Table 2). When the 2010 Japanese Population and the World Standard Population were used as standard, age- and sex-standardized incidence rates of first-ever stroke were 165.5 and 69.8 per 100,000 person-years, respectively (Table 2). The age- and sex-standardized incidence rate of stroke (first-ever and recurrent) was 192.8 per 100,000 person-years (95% CI 170.5–221.6): 126.3 per 100,000 person-years for ischemic stroke, 49.3 for intracerebral hemorrhage, and 15.4 for subarachnoid hemorrhage (Table 3). The annual estimated number of first-ever stroke cases in Japan was 215,606 and that of recurrent stroke was 77,987 (Table 4). Incidence rates of stroke, including cases with death certificate information only, are also shown in Table S1. The age- and sex-standardized incidence rate of stroke (first-ever, recurrent and death certificate information only) was 203.2 per 100,000 person-years: 129.9 per 100,000 person-years for ischemic stroke, 53.1 for intracerebral hemorrhage, and 17.5 for subarachnoid hemorrhage (Table S1).

Table 2. IR of First-Ever Stroke and Its Subtypes (per 100,000 Person-Years) in Shiga Stroke Registry, Shiga, Japan, 2011
Age and sex Population Total stroke Ischemic stroke Intracerebral
hemorrhage
Subarachnoid
hemorrhage
n IR 95% CI n IR 95% CI n IR 95% CI n IR 95% CI
Men
 0–34 275,099 14 5.1 2.8–8.5 6 2.2 0.8–4.7 2 0.7 0.1–2.6 6 2.2 0.8–4.7
 35–44 106,181 47 44.3 32.5–
58.9
24 22.6 14.5–
33.6
16 15.1 8.6–
24.5
6 5.7 2.1–12.3
 45–54 82,778 88 106.3 85.3–
131.0
54 65.2 49.0–
85.1
23 27.8 17.6–
41.7
11 13.3 6.6–23.8
 55–64 98,534 245 248.6 218.5–
281.8
140 142.1 119.5–
167.7
82 83.2 66.2–
103.3
20 20.3 12.4–31.3
 65–74 71,418 306 428.5 381.8–
479.3
236 330.4 289.6–
375.4
60 84.0 64.1–
108.1
9 12.6 5.8–23.9
 75–84 44,641 319 714.6 638.3–
797.5
231 517.5 452.9–
588.7
72 161.3 126.2–
203.1
9 20.2 9.2–38.3
 ≥85 11,208 119 1,061.7 879.6–
1,270.5
92 820.8 661.7–
1,006.7
25 223.1 144.3–
329.3
0
 Total 689,859 1,138 165.0 155.5–
174.8
783 113.5 105.7–
121.7
280 40.6 36.0–
45.6
61 8.8 6.8–11.4
 Age-adjusted rate*
  ESP2013     173.7 140.1–
215.9
  120.6 93.7–
155.9
  42.2 27.0–
64.1
  8.8 3.1–20.8
  JP2010     176.2 143.3–
217.0
  121.5 95.2–
155.4
  43.2 28.2–
64.5
  9.3 3.3–21.9
  WHO2000     87.0 68.5–
112.1
  57.6 43.5–
77.7
  22.0 13.9–
34.1
  6.4 2.1–15.9
Women
 0–34 258,574 9 3.5 1.6–6.6 2 0.8 0.1–2.8 6 2.3 0.9–5.1 1 0.4 0.0–2.2
 35–44 103,470 22 21.3 13.3–
32.2
7 6.8 2.7–
13.9
6 5.8 2.1–
12.6
9 8.7 4.0–
16.5
 45–54 83,925 55 65.5 49.4–
85.3
16 19.1 10.9–
31.0
21 25.0 15.5–
38.2
18 21.4 12.7–
33.9
 55–64 100,078 119 118.9 98.5–
142.3
53 53.0 39.7–
69.3
37 37.0 26.0–
51.0
29 29.0 19.4–
41.6
 65–74 75,692 185 244.4 210.5–
282.3
108 142.7 117.0–
172.3
43 56.8 41.1–
76.5
33 43.6 30.0–
61.2
 75–84 59,129 326 551.3 493.1–
614.6
202 341.6 296.1–
392.1
88 148.8 119.4–
183.4
31 52.4 35.6–
74.4
 ≥85 30,018 322 1,072.7 958.7–
1,196.5
227 756.2 661.0–
861.3
70 233.2 181.8–
294.6
19 63.3 38.1–
98.8
 Total 710,886 1,038 146.0 137.3–
155.2
615 86.5 79.8–
93.6
271 38.1 33.7–
42.9
140 19.7 16.6–
23.2
 Age-adjusted rate*
  ESP2013     115.2 92.7–147.7   65.5 50.5–88.0   31.1 19.6–51.3   17.4 9.1–31.3
  JP2010     154.5 125.3–
191.6
  91.4 70.9–
118.2
  40.3 26.0–
63.0
  20.9 11.0–
36.9
  WHO2000     53.6 40.4–
74.7
  27.4 19.7–
39.9
  15.7 8.8–
30.7
  10.0 5.0–19.0
Men and women
 Total 1,400,745 2,176 155.3 148.9–
162.0
1,398 99.8 94.6–
105.2
551 39.3 36.1–
42.8
201 14.3 12.4–
16.5
 Age- and sex-adjusted rate*
  ESP2013     142.9 123.3–
168.5
  91.3 76.5–
111.2
  36.4 26.6–
50.6
  13.7 7.8–23.2
  JP2010     165.5 142.7–
192.6
  106.6 89.2–
127.9
  41.8 30.8–
57.0
  15.2 8.7–25.4
  WHO2000     69.8 58.1–85.7   41.9 33.7–53.6   18.8 13.0–28.4   8.4 4.6–15.2
Age and sex    Ischemic stroke
Lacunar infarction Large-artery infarction Cardioembolic infarction Other/undetermined
n IR 95% CI n IR 95% CI n IR 95% CI n IR 95% CI
Men
 0–34  1 0.4 0.0–2.0 3 1.1 0.2–3.2 0 2 0.7 0.1–2.6
 35–44  7 6.6 2.7–13.6 3 2.8 0.6–8.3 0 14 13.2 7.2–22.1
 45–54  22 26.6 16.7–40.2 17 20.5 12.0–32.9 3 3.6 0.7–10.6 12 14.5 7.5–25.3
 55–64  48 48.7 35.9–
64.6
47 47.7 35.0–
63.4
19 19.3 11.6–
30.1
26 26.4 17.2–
38.7
 65–74  62 86.8 66.6–
111.3
73 102.2 80.1–
128.5
51 71.4 53.2–
93.9
50 70.0 52.0–
92.3
 75–84  54 121.0 90.9–
157.8
88 197.1 158.1–
242.9
61 136.6 104.5–
175.5
28 62.7 41.7–
90.7
 ≥85  14 124.9 68.3–
209.6
31 276.6 187.9–
392.6
36 321.2 225.0–
444.7
11 98.1 49.0–
175.6
 Total  208 30.2 26.2–34.5 262 38.0 33.5–42.9 170 24.6 21.1–28.6 143 20.7 17.5–24.4
 Age-adjusted rate*
  ESP2013    31.6 19.0–50.9   40.0 25.9–62.0   27.4 16.8–43.4   21.7 11.2–39.5
  JP2010    32.3 19.9–51.1   40.7 26.8–61.9   26.4 16.4–41.3   22.2 11.8–39.4
  WHO2000    16.3 9.7–27.0   18.8 11.7–31.5   10.8 6.5–17.7   11.7 5.9–22.4
Women
 0–34  0 1 0.4 0.0–2.2 0 1 0.4 0.0–2.2
 35–44  2 1.9 0.2–7.0 3 2.9 0.6–8.5 0 2 1.9 0.2–7.0
 45–54  3 3.6 0.7–10.4 5 6.0 1.9–13.9 4 4.8 1.3–12.2 4 4.8 1.3–12.2
 55–64  16 16.0 9.1–26.0 19 19.0 11.4–29.6 6 6.0 2.2–13.0 12 12.0 6.2–20.9
 65–74  32 42.3 28.9–
59.7
28 37.0 24.6–
53.5
19 25.1 15.1–
39.2
29 38.3 25.7–
55.0
 75–84  51 86.3 64.2–
113.4
51 86.3 64.2–
113.4
63 106.5 81.9–
136.3
37 62.6 44.1–
86.3
 ≥85  40 133.3 95.2–
181.5
70 233.2 181.8–
294.6
92 306.5 247.1–
375.9
25 83.3 53.9–
122.9
 Total  144 20.3 17.1–23.8 177 24.9 21.4–28.8 184 25.9 22.3–29.9 110 15.5 12.7–18.6
 Age-adjusted rate*
  ESP2013    16.0 9.2–27.7   18.7 11.0–32.3   18.2 11.8–29.4   12.6 6.4–24.1
  JP2010    21.7 12.6–35.9   26.2 15.9–42.6   27.0 17.7–41.0   16.6 8.6–30.3
  WHO2000    6.9 3.7–13.0   8.1 4.2–15.8   6.5 3.8–11.7   5.9 2.7–12.8
Men and women
 Total  352 25.1 22.6–27.9 439 31.3 28.5–34.4 354 25.3 22.7–28.0 253 18.1 15.9–20.4
 Age- and sex-adjusted ratea*
  ESP2013    23.4 16.2–33.6   28.6 20.7–40.3   22.5 16.5–31.2   16.8 10.6–26.6
  JP2010    26.9 18.7–38.2   33.5 24.3–46.2   26.8 19.5–36.5   19.3 12.3–29.9
  WHO2000    11.5 7.6–17.2   13.2 8.9–20.1   8.5 5.9–12.4   8.8 5.1–15.1

*Standardized for age to the 2013 European Standard Population (ESP2013), the 2010 Japanese Population (JP2010) and the 2000 World Standard Population (WHO2000) using direct method. CI, confidence interval; IR, incidence rates.

Table 3. IR of Stroke (First-Ever and Recurrent) and Its Subtypes (per 100,000 Person-Years) in Shiga Stroke Registry, Shiga, Japan, 2011
Age and sex Population Total stroke Ischemic stroke Intracerebral
hemorrhage
Subarachnoid
hemorrhage
n IR 95% CI n IR 95% CI n IR 95% CI n IR 95% CI
Men
 0–34 275,099 15 5.5 3.1–9.0 6 2.2 0.8–4.7 3 1.1 0.2–3.2 6 2.2 0.8–4.7
 35–44 106,181 50 47.1 35.0–
62.1
27 25.4 16.8–
37.0
16 15.1 8.6–
24.5
6 5.7 2.1–12.3
 45–54 82,778 100 120.8 98.3–
146.9
58 70.1 53.2–
90.6
30 36.2 24.5–
51.7
12 14.5 7.5–25.3
 55–64 98,534 308 312.6 278.6–
349.5
174 176.6 151.3–
204.9
109 110.6 90.8–
133.4
20 20.3 12.4–31.3
 65–74 71,418 418 585.3 530.5–
644.2
321 449.5 401.6–
501.4
86 120.4 96.3–
148.7
10 14.0 6.7–25.8
 75–84 44,641 503 1,126.8 1,030.4–
1,229.7
372 833.3 750.8–
922.5
112 250.9 206.6–
301.9
11 24.6 12.3–
44.1
 ≥85 11,208 185 1,650.6 1,421.3–
1,906.4
147 1,311.6 1,108.1–
1,541.5
35 312.3 217.5–
434.3
0
 Total 689,859 1,579 228.9 217.7–
240.5
1,105 160.2 150.9–
169.9
391 56.7 51.2–
62.6
65 9.4 7.3–12.0
 Age-adjusted rate*
  ESP2013     241.9 202.6–
290.1
  171.1 139.2–
211.3
  58.7 40.6–
84.1
  9.4 3.5–21.6
  JP2010     244.5 206.1–
291.0
  171.4 140.4–
210.0
  60.4 42.4–
85.1
  10.0 3.7–22.7
  WHO2000     115.8 94.8–
143.4
  78.0 61.8–
100.0
  30.0 20.3–
44.2
  6.7 2.3–16.3
Women
 0–34 258,574 10 3.9 1.9–7.1 2 0.8 0.1–2.8 6 2.3 0.9–5.1 2 0.8 0.1–2.8
 35–44 103,470 24 23.2 14.9–
34.5
8 7.7 3.3–
15.2
7 6.8 2.7–
13.9
9 8.7 4.0–16.5
 45–54 83,925 59 70.3 53.5–
90.7
18 21.4 12.7–
33.9
22 26.2 16.4–
39.7
19 22.6 13.6–
35.4
 55–64 100,078 142 141.9 119.5–
167.2
68 67.9 52.8–
86.1
44 44.0 31.9
–59.0
30 30.0 20.2–
42.8
 65–74 75,692 230 303.9 265.9–
345.8
131 173.1 144.7–
205.4
61 80.6 61.6–
103.5
37 48.9 34.4–
67.4
 75–84 59,129 450 761.0 692.3–
834.7
277 468.5 414.9–
527.0
127 214.8 179.1–
255.6
40 67.6 48.3–
92.1
 ≥85 30,018 462 1,539.1 1,401.9–
1,686.0
339 1,129.3 1,012.3–
1,256.2
93 309.8 250.1–
379.5
24 80.0 51.2–
119.0
 Total 710,886 1,377 193.7 183.6–
204.2
843 118.6 110.7–
126.9
360 50.6 45.5–
56.2
161 22.6 19.3–
26.4
 Age-adjusted rate*
  ESP2013     150.5 125.3–
186.3
  88.4 71.3–
113.6
  40.8 27.7–
62.6
  19.9 10.8–
34.5
  JP2010     204.9 171.6–
246.0
  125.0 101.2–
155.0
  53.8 37.3–
78.6
  24.1 13.3–
40.9
  WHO2000     67.3 52.7–
89.8
  35.8 27.1–
49.3
  19.8 12.1–
35.4
  11.2 5.8–
20.6
Men and women
 Total 1,400,745 2,956 211.0 203.5–
218.8
1,948 139.1 133.0–
145.4
751 53.6 49.8–
57.6
226 16.1 14.1–
18.4
 Age- and sex-adjusted rate*
  ESP2013     192.8 170.5–
221.6
  126.3 109.2–
148.9
  49.3 38.0–
65.1
  15.4 9.1–25.4
  JP2010     225.1 198.8–
255.5
  148.5 128.2–
172.7
  57.1 44.2–
74.1
  17.1 10.2–
27.8
  WHO2000     90.4 77.4–
107.7
  55.7 46.5–
68.4
  24.7 18.1–
35.1
  9.2 5.1–16.3
Age and sex    Ischemic stroke
Lacunar infarction Large-artery infarction Cardioembolic infarction Other/undetermined
n IR 95% CI n IR 95% CI n IR 95% CI n IR 95% CI
Men
 0–34  1 0.4 0.0–2.0 3 1.1 0.2–3.2 0 2 0.7 0.1–2.6
 35–44  8 7.5 3.3–14.8 5 4.7 1.5–11.0 0 14 13.2 7.2–22.1
 45–54  23 27.8 17.6–41.7 18 21.7 12.9–34.4 3 3.6 0.7–10.6 14 16.9 9.2–28.4
 55–64  60 60.9 46.5–
78.4
56 56.8 42.9–
73.8
27 27.4 18.1–
39.9
31 31.5 21.4–
44.7
 65–74  78 109.2 86.3–
136.3
109 152.6 125.3–
184.1
70 98.0 76.4–
123.8
64 89.6 69.0–
114.4
 75–84  80 179.2 142.1–
223.0
141 315.9 265.9–
372.5
104 233.0 190.4–
282.3
47 105.3 77.4–
140.0
 ≥85  26 232.0 151.5–
339.9
43 383.7 277.7–
516.8
61 544.3 416.3–
699.1
17 151.7 88.4–
242.9
 Total  276 40.0 35.4–45.0 375 54.4 49.0–60.1 265 38.4 33.9–43.3 189 27.4 23.6–31.6
 Age-adjusted rate*
  ESP2013    42.2 27.3–63.8   57.4 40.4–82.3   43.0 29.5–62.0   28.5 16.4–48.0
  JP2010    42.8 28.2–63.7   58.3 41.6–82.3   41.0 28.4–58.6   29.3 17.3–48.1
  WHO2000    20.7 13.1–32.3   26.0 17.6–40.0   16.4 11.1–24.4   14.7 8.1–26.1
Women
 0–34  0 1 0.4 0.0–2.2 0 1 0.4 0.0–2.2
 35–44  2 1.9 0.2–7.0 3 2.9 0.6–8.5 1 1.0 0.0–5.4 2 1.9 0.2–7.0
 45–54  4 4.8 1.3–12.2 6 7.1 2.6–15.6 4 4.8 1.3–12.2 4 4.8 1.3–12.2
 55–64  19 19.0 11.4–29.6 25 25.0 16.2–36.9 8 8.0 3.5–15.8 16 16.0 9.1–26.0
 65–74  36 47.6 33.3–
65.8
36 47.6 33.3–
65.8
27 35.7 23.5–
51.9
32 42.3 28.9–
59.7
 75–84  75 126.8 99.8–
159.0
69 116.7 90.8–
147.7
87 147.1 117.8–
181.5
46 77.8 57.0–
103.8
 ≥85  65 216.5 167.1–
276
103 343.1 280.1–
416.1
135 449.7 377.1–
532.3
36 119.9 84.0–
166.0
 Total  201 28.3 24.5–32.5 243 34.2 30.0–38.8 262 36.9 32.5–41.6 137 19.3 16.2–22.8
 Age-adjusted rate*
  ESP2013    21.8 13.8–34.6   25.4 16.5–40.5   25.8 18.1–39.1   15.4 8.5–27.7
  JP2010    30.1 19.4–46.0   35.9 23.7–54.1   38.4 27.1–54.9   20.6 11.6–35.3
  WHO2000    9.0 5.3–15.5   10.6 6.2–18.9   9.1 5.8–15.4   7.0 3.5–14.2
Men and women
 Total  477 34.1 31.1–37.3 618 44.1 40.7–47.7 527 37.6 34.5–41.0 326 23.3 20.8–25.9
 Age- and sex-adjusted rate*
  ESP2013    31.3 22.9–42.7   40.2 30.8–53.4   33.3 26.0–43.8   21.5 14.4–32.2
  JP2010    36.4 26.8–49.1   47.2 36.3–61.6   39.9 30.9–51.5   24.9 16.9–36.5
  WHO2000    14.7 10.3–20.9   17.9 13.0–25.4   12.4 9.2–17.1   10.7 6.8–17.5

*Standardized for age to the 2013 European Standard Population (ESP2013), the 2010 Japanese Population (JP2010) and the 2000 World Standard Population (WHO2000) using direct method. Abbreviations as in Table 2.

Table 4. Estimated Number of Strokes (First-Ever and Recurrent or First-Ever Stroke) and Its Subtypes in 2011 in Japan
Age and
sex
Japanese
population*
(thousands)
Estimate no. of strokes (first-ever and recurrent) Estimate no. of strokes (first-ever)
Total
stroke
(n)
Ischemic
stroke
(n)
Intracerebral
hemorrhage
(n)
Subarachnoid
hemorrhage
(n)
Total
stroke
(n)
Ischemic
stroke
(n)
Intracerebral
hemorrhage
(n)
Subarachnoid
hemorrhage
(n)
Men
 0–34 22,705 1,295 505 267 522 1,205 505 177 522
 35–44 9,631 4,557 2,462 1,461 545 4,282 2,188 1,461 545
 45–54 7,823 9,455 5,484 2,838 1,133 8,321 5,106 2,176 1,039
 55–64 9,347 29,210 16,499 10,338 1,898 23,237 13,276 7,777 1,898
 65–74 7,092 41,719 32,064 8,563 996 30,508 23,563 5,956 893
 75–84 4,441 49,903 36,877 11,137 1,104 31,662 22,906 7,167 900
 ≥85 1,145 18,967 15,063 3,597 12,223 9,442 2,579
 Total 62,184 155,106 108,954 38,200 6,199 111,439 76,986 27,294 5,798
  95% CI 130,761–
184,451
89,291–
133,394
26,839–
53,814
2,294–
14,149
90,655–
137,225
60,329–
98,421
17,813–
40,732
2,051–
13,601
Women
 0–34 21,759 848 169 509 170 763 169 509 85
 35–44 9,394 2,196 738 630 827 2,010 646 538 827
 45–54 7,782 5,470 1,670 2,038 1,762 5,099 1,484 1,945 1,670
 55–64 9,606 13,657 6,540 4,234 2,883 11,440 5,095 3,558 2,788
 65–74 7,952 24,434 13,924 6,479 3,929 19,610 11,447 4,569 3,493
 75–84 6,194 46,934 28,840 13,282 4,186 33,959 20,998 9,208 3,233
 ≥85 2,926 44,949 32,937 9,069 2,351 31,286 22,023 6,809 1,864
 Total 65,613 138,488 84,819 36,241 16,108 104,168 61,861 27,134 13,959
  95% CI 116,094–
165,855
68,712–
104,887
25,197–
52,715
8,930–
27,291
84,557–
128,862
48,043–
79,738
17,573–
42,165
7,378–
24,578
Men and women
 Total 127,797 293,593 193,773 74,441 22,307 215,606 138,847 54,428 19,757
  95% CI 260,392–
334,179
168,259–
226,258
57,816–
96,590
13,217–
35,970
186,519–
251,215
116,746–
167,111
40,146–
74,148
11,308–
32,851

*2011 Japanese population from the 2011 vital statistics data; The age- and sex-stratified Japanese population was based on 2011 vital statistics data. CI, confidence interval.

Table 5 shows the current management of stroke. Among patients with ischemic stroke, 1,739 (89.3%) underwent MRI and 1,934 (99.3%) underwent CT, MRI, or conventional angiography. A total of 741 (98.7%) patients with intracerebral hemorrhage and 219 (96.9%) with subarachnoid hemorrhage underwent CT scanning. Among patients with ischemic stroke, 78 (4.0%) received an intravenous recombinant tissue plasminogen activator, and 82 (10.9%) patients with intracerebral hemorrhage underwent a neurosurgical procedure (craniotomy without cerebral shunt). A total of 1,291 (43.7%) patients received neuroprotective agents (edaravone) and 717 (24.3%) received treatment for raised intracranial pressure (glyceol or mannitol). Intravenous antihypertensive agents were administered to 392 (52.2%) patients with intracerebral hemorrhage and 104 (46.0%) with subarachnoid hemorrhage. For the 2,158 (73.0%) stroke patients who received rehabilitation therapy, the median duration from stroke onset to initiation of rehabilitation therapy was 3 days. Only 1,225 (41.4%) patients received antihypertensive medication at discharge (Table 5).

Table 5. Management of Stroke in Shiga Stroke Registry, Shiga, Japan, 2011
  Total
stroke
(n=2,956)
Ischemic stroke Intracerebral
hemorrhage
(n=751)
Subarachnoid
hemorrhage
(n=226)
Total
(n=1,948)
Lacunar
infarction
(n=477)
Large-artery
infarction
(n=618)
Cardioembolic
infarction
(n=527)
Other/
undetermined
(n=326)
Neuroimaging
 Brain CT 2,707
(91.6)
1,746
(89.6)
401 (84.1) 561 (90.8) 494 (93.7) 290 (89.0) 741 (98.7) 219 (96.9)
 CT angiography 434 (14.7) 195 (10.0) 33 (6.9) 83 (13.4) 41 (7.8) 38 (11.7) 102 (13.6) 137 (60.6)
 Brain MRI 2,147
(72.6)
1,739
(89.3)
451 (94.5) 586 (94.8) 440 (83.5) 262 (80.4) 307 (40.9) 100 (44.2)
 MR angiography 1,952
(66.0)
1,602
(82.2)
405 (84.9) 554 (89.6) 401 (76.1) 242 (74.2) 255 (34.0) 94 (41.6)
 Conventional angiography 263 (8.9) 107 (5.5) 14 (2.9) 63 (10.2) 15 (2.8) 15 (4.6) 47 (6.3) 109 (48.2)
Treatment in acute phase
 Endovascular treatment 63 (2.1) 18 (0.9) 1 (0.2) 12 (1.9) 4 (0.8) 1 (0.3) 0 (0.0) 45 (19.9)
 Other neurosurgical
procedures*
222 (7.5) 24 (1.2) 0 (0.0) 11 (1.8) 11 (2.1) 2 (0.6) 82 (10.9) 116 (51.3)
 Intravenous treatment
  Recombinant tissue
plasminogen activator
78 (4.0) 3 (0.6) 27 (4.4) 41 (7.8) 7 (2.1)
  Neuroprotective agent
(edaravone)
1,291
(43.7)
1,248
(64.1)
303 (63.5) 410 (66.3) 341 (64.7) 194 (59.5) 1 (0.1) 41 (18.1)
  Drugs for raised
intracranial pressure**
717 (24.3) 357 (18.3) 31 (6.5) 99 (16.0) 168 (31.9) 59 (18.1) 279 (37.2) 81 (35.8)
  BP-lowering agent 588 (19.9) 92 (4.7) 12 (2.5) 30 (4.9) 37 (7.0) 13 (4.0) 392 (52.2) 104 (46.0)
 Rehabilitation therapy 2,158
(73.0)
1,490
(76.5)
379 (79.5) 480 (77.7) 390 (74.0) 241 (73.9) 548 (73.0) 117 (51.8)
  Physical therapy 2,027
(68.6)
1,383
(71.0)
351 (73.6) 445 (72.0) 359 (68.1) 228 (69.9) 528 (70.3) 113 (50.0)
  Occupational therapy 1,630
(55.1)
1,112
(57.1)
288 (60.4) 358 (57.9) 277 (52.6) 189 (58.0) 429 (57.1) 86 (38.1)
  Speech therapy 1,222
(41.3)
834 (42.8) 193 (40.5) 281 (45.5) 231 (43.8) 129 (39.6) 321 (42.7) 64 (28.3)
  Days from onset to
rehabilitation therapy
3
(2–6)
3
(2–6)
3
(2–5)
4
(2–6)
3
(2–6)
4
(2–6)
3
(1–5)
7
(3–14)
Length of hospital stay
(days)
24
(11–47)
23
(12–45)
18
(10–35)
25
(13–46)
28
(13–51)
21
(12–45)
28
(10–50)
28
(6–58)
Treatment at discharge
 Antiplatelet agent 1,321
(44.7)
1,266
(65.0)
425 (89.1) 482 (78.0) 133 (25.2) 226 (69.3) 26 (3.5) 28 (12.4)
 Anticoagulant agent 427 (14.4) 395 (20.3) 19 (4.0) 48 (7.8) 292 (55.4) 36 (11.0) 30 (4.0) 2 (0.9)
BP-lowering agent 1,225
(41.4)
767 (39.4) 212 (44.4) 249 (40.3) 188 (35.7) 118 (36.2) 407 (54.2) 50 (22.1)

Values are median (interquartile range) or number (%). *Other neurosurgical procedures includes all neurosurgical procedures except for endovascular treatment and cerebral shunt. **Glycerol and/or mannitol. BP, blood pressure; CT, computed tomography; MRI, magnetic resonance imaging.

Table 6 shows the functional outcomes at discharge and mortality within 28 days. A total of 1,846 (62.8%) stroke patients had died (mRS score 6) or were dependent (mRS score 3–5) at hospital discharge. Furthermore, 390 (13.2%) patients died within 28 days of stroke onset.

Table 6. Short-Term Prognosis of Stroke and Its Subtypes in Shiga Stroke Registry, Shiga, Japan, 2011
  Total
stroke,
n (%)
Ischemic stroke Intracerebral
hemorrhag,
n (%)
Subarachnoid
hemorrhage,
n (%)
Total,
n (%)
Lacunar
infarction,
n (%)
Large-artery
infarction,
n (%)
Cardioembolic
infarction,
n (%)
Other/
undetermined,
n (%)
First-ever and recurrent stroke
 mRS at hospital discharge
  0 209 (8.6) 167 (8.6) 58 (12.3) 52 (8.5) 23 (4.4) 34 (10.5) 19 (2.5) 23 (10.2)
  1 539 (18.3) 411 (21.2) 142 (30.1) 113 (18.4) 77 (14.7) 79 (24.3) 96 (12.8) 31 (13.7)
  2 347 (11.8) 261 (13.5) 64 (13.6) 95 (15.4) 41 (7.8) 61 (18.8) 72 (9.6) 14 (6.2)
  3 305 (10.4) 230 (11.9) 62 (13.1) 76 (12.4) 66 (12.6) 26 (8.0) 61 (8.2) 14 (6.2)
  4 652 (22.2) 416 (21.5) 96 (20.3) 158 (25.7) 106 (20.2) 56 (17.2) 206 (27.5) 30 (13.3)
  5 404 (13.7) 239 (12.3) 39 (8.3) 72 (11.7) 106 (20.2) 22 (6.8) 133 (17.8) 32 (14.2)
  6 485 (16.5) 212 (11.0) 11 (2.3) 49 (8.0) 105 (20.0) 47 (14.5) 161 (21.5) 82 (36.3)
  Unknown 15 (–) 12 (–) 5 (–) 3 (–) 3 (–) 1 (–) 3 (–) 0 (–)
 Death within 28 days 390 (13.2) 151 (7.8) 6 (1.3) 35 (5.7) 77 (14.6) 33 (10.1) 145 (19.3) 70 (31.0)
First-ever stroke
 mRS at hospital discharge
  0 187 (8.6) 150 (10.8) 52 (15.0) 45 (10.3) 21 (6.0) 32 (12.7) 17 (3.1) 20 (10.0)
  1 444 (20.5) 335 (24.2) 119 (34.3) 89 (20.4) 61 (17.3) 66 (26.2) 78 (14.2) 30 (14.9)
  2 269 (12.4) 194 (14.0) 49 (14.1) 72 (16.5) 27 (7.7) 46 (18.3) 62 (11.3) 13 (6.5)
  3 203 (9.4) 146 (10.5) 40 (11.5) 50 (11.5) 39 (11.1) 17 (6.7) 46 (8.4) 11 (5.5)
  4 449 (20.8) 269 (19.4) 58 (16.7) 97 (22.2) 71 (20.2) 43 (17.1) 152 (27.7) 28 (13.9)
  5 262 (12.1) 155 (11.2) 20 (5.8) 47 (10.8) 71 (20.2) 17 (6.7) 78 (14.2) 29 (14.4)
  6 349 (16.1) 138 (9.9) 9 (2.6) 36 (8.3) 62 (17.6) 31 (12.3) 116 (21.1) 70 (34.8)
  Unknown 13 (–) 11 (–) 5 (–) 3 (–) 2 (–) 1 (–) 2 (–) 0 (–)
 Death within 28 days 281 (12.9) 97 (6.9) 5 (1.4) 25 (5.7) 47 (13.3) 20 (7.9) 104 (18.9) 61 (30.3)

mRS, modified rank scale.5

Discussion

The present study using a large-scale, comprehensive, population-based stroke registry demonstrated the current status in incidence rates, management, and prognosis of stroke in a Japanese real-world setting. We also estimated the total number of stroke onsets. Age- and sex-standardized incidence rates of first-ever stroke and that of overall stroke were 142.9 and 192.8 per 100,000 person-years, respectively. In 2011 the estimated annual number of new strokes in Japan was 220,000. Although most patients underwent a neuroimaging examination, the frequency of patients who received intravenous thrombolysis was still low among those with ischemic stroke (4%). Furthermore, more than half of the stroke patients died or became dependent after stroke.

Several population-based stroke registries have been conducted in Japan. The Takashima Stroke Registry,11,12 located in Takashima City in the northwestern part of Shiga Prefecture, reported that incidence rates of first-ever stroke standardized for age using the 2000 Japanese population were 152 per 100,000 person-years in men and 97 in women12 during the study period from 1999 to 2001 (125 in men and 79 in women as age-standardized by WHO 2000). Another population-based stroke registry conducted in Akita Prefecture reported that incidence rates of first-ever stroke standardized for age using the 1976 European Standard Population13 were 176 per 100,000 person-years in men and 107 in women during the study period 1995–2004.14 Compared with those previous studies conducted in the 1990 s and early 2000 s, the present analysis of the SSR demonstrated lower incidence rates (≈70% of previous studies). Likewise, the present analysis demonstrated lower incidence rates of ischemic stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage than in the previous studies. These findings are consistent with those of the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD2010), which demonstrated a slight reduction in age-standardized rates of stroke in high-income countries from 1990 to 2010.15 To our knowledge, our study is the first to report the incidence rate in the 2010 s in Japan based on a large-scale, comprehensive, population-based registry. We therefore considered it appropriate to estimate the number of stroke onsets in Japan using the incidence rates in the present study. A previous study from Japan estimated that approximately 154,000 new strokes occurred in 2000.12 The estimated absolute number of stroke onsets in Japan appears to show a 1.4-fold increase from 2000 to 2011. Although the age-standardized incidence rate of stroke in Japan has been decreasing during the past few decades, absolute number of new strokes might be increasing because of the rapid aging of the Japanese society.

Incidence rates of lacunar infarction and intracerebral hemorrhage, which are strongly associated with small vessel disease,16,17 have been shown to be higher in Asian than in Western populations.18,19 On the other hand, incidence rates of large-artery infarction and cardioembolic infarction have been shown to be lower in Asian individuals than in their Western counterparts. Compared with previous studies conducted during the 1990 s in Japan,20 however, the present study conducted in 2011 demonstrated a lower incidence of lacunar infarction and a higher incidence of large-artery infarction. The rapid aging of the Japanese population and the change from traditional to Western lifestyle21 might be an influential factor in the changing incidence rates of ischemic stroke subtypes, particularly the increase in large-artery infarctions.

In previous population-based studies from Europe, case-fatality rates at 30 days have been reported to be 20.6–21.6% for total stroke22,23 and 31.6% for intracerebral hemorrhage.22 In several recent hospital-based studies, the percentage of patients with death or dependency (mRS score 3 to 6) at discharge has been reported to be 43.4% in men and 49.6% in women for ischemic stroke in the USA,24 and 30.9% in men and 39.8% in women for total stroke in Korea.25 In a large-scale Japanese hospital-based registry, the frequency of death or dependency (mRS score 3–6) at discharge has been reported as 45.2% for large-artery infarction, 26.6% for lacunar infarction, 59.5% for cardioembolic infarction, and 67.4% for hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage.26 Although the present results from the SSR demonstrated lower mortality rates and higher frequency of dependency than previous studies, the discrepancy may be attributable to differences in study design and characteristics of the patients.

Study Limitations

Although, to our knowledge, this is the first study to report the current status of incidence rate, management, and short-term outcome of stroke based on a large-scale, comprehensive, population-based registry in Japan, it does have several limitations. First, because of the retrospective nature of registration, there may have been a slight variation in clinical scores, such as mRS, reported by investigators. Furthermore, requisite information was not available from the medical records of some patients. Another limitation is that we had no information on some patients with minor stroke who visited small clinics only or those who did not visit a doctor, which may have led us to underestimate the incidence rates of stroke. We also had no information on stroke patients who were admitted to hospitals outside of Shiga Prefecture, although an underestimation of stroke incidence due to such bias seem to be somewhat limited because the rate of patients who were transported outside of the city using the public ambulance service in Otsu City, which is on the border to the Kyoto prefecture, has been reported to be much lower than that in other regions in Japan.27 Finally, the cause of death might have not been investigated for patients with sudden death or cardiopulmonary arrest on hospital arrival, which may have led to inaccurate diagnosis of stroke among cases with death certificate only.

Conclusions

In the present Japanese population-based stroke registry in a real-world setting, incidence rates of stroke by subtype were clarified and the total number of new strokes in Japan was estimated. More than half of stroke patients in Japan die or become dependent after stroke. This study re-emphasizes the importance of public health measures to reduce the burden of stroke in Japan and other high-income countries facing the rapid aging of society.

Acknowledgments

We thank all investigators, participating hospitals, study staff at the Shiga Stroke Data Center, Shiga Medical Association, Shiga Prefecture Hospital Association, Biwako Brain Attack Consortium (BIWA-BAC), and the Department of Health Care and Welfare, Shiga Prefecture government.

Conflict of Interest

None declared.

Grants

SSR is supported by Shiga Prefecture, Japan. This study was supported by Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development (AMED).

Appendix

Members of the Shiga Stroke Data Center

Management Committee Yoshitaka Matsusue (Chair), Kiyoshi Murata (Vice Chair), Kazuhiko Nozaki (Principal Investigator), Katsuyuki Miura, Yoshikuni Kita, Naoyuki Takashima, Masaru Komori, Satoru Nagata, Yoshihisa Sugimoto, Naomi Miyamatsu.

Supplementary Files

Supplementary File 1

Steering Committee of Biwako Brain Attack Consortium (BIWA-BAC) and the Participating Hospitals

Table S1. IR of stroke (first-ever, recurrent and death certificate only) and its subtypes (per 100,000 person-years) in Shiga Stroke Registry, Shiga, Japan, 2011

Please find supplementary file(s);

http://dx.doi.org/10.1253/circj.CJ-17-0177

References
 
© 2017 THE JAPANESE CIRCULATION SOCIETY
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