Study on estimation of the changes of economic ripple effects by land use change associated with the redevelopment of large industrial sites

Abstract

In this study, we made input-output table of Amagasaki-City (industrial city west side in Japan), and by using it, we estimated economic ripple effects after removing 15 large factories and then new land use are located in 5 terms (15 years). Negative ripple effect by removing them are supplemented with new land uses about 104,932 million yen, in comparison with situation that those sites are left as vacant lots. We suppose new uses to be commerce, service business and houses, so manufacturing business reduces much of turnout through 5 terms. But, "pulp, paper and paper converting industry" and "publication and printing business", whose emigration and export ratio from the city are lower than average ratio and so called as non-basic industry, are made clear to increase its turnout.