2025 年 16 巻 論文ID: PP4006
Mongolia's economic activity and freight movements are heavily concentrated in Ulaanbaatar, resulting in regional disparities and logistical inefficiencies. Although national policies emphasize balanced regional development, the country still lacks robust, data-driven tools to forecast freight demand and guide the development of an efficient and equitable transport network. This study seeks to fill that gap by applying the four-step Freight Transport Demand Model, incorporating a GDP-based Gravity Model, to project future freight flows across regions.
The model identifies critical infrastructure bottlenecks and limitations in modal split and traffic assignment, providing the first systematic, quantitative assessment of Mongolia's freight transport system. Based on the findings, strategic recommendations are offered to promote decentralized economic growth, strengthen interregional connectivity, and alleviate the growing logistical burden on the capital city.
