2024 Volume 71 Issue 10 Pages 979-993
This study aimed to evaluate the associations of fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels at <24 weeks of gestation with hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) and compare the strengths of the associations of HDP with FPG and HbA1c levels. Totally, 1,178 participants were included in this prospective cohort study. HDP, FPG, HbA1c, and potential confounding factors were included in multiple logistic regression models. The number of HDP cases was 136 (11.5%). When FPG and HbA1c were included in the model separately, quartile 4 (Q4) of FPG (87–125 mg/dL) and HbA1c (5.2–6.3% [33–45 mmol/mol]) levels had higher odds of HDP than quartile 1. The odds ratios (ORs) were 1.334 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.002–1.775) for Q4 of FPG and 1.405 (95% CI: 1.051–1.878) for Q4 of HbA1c. When the participants were divided into two categories based on the cut-off value with the maximum Youden Index of FPG or HbA1c, the ORs for high FPG (≥84 mg/dL) or high HbA1c (≥5.2% [33 mmol/mol]) were 1.223 (95% CI: 1.000–1.496) and 1.392 (95% CI: 1.122–1.728), respectively. When both FPG and HbA1c were included in the model simultaneously, the statistical significance of Q4 of FPG disappeared, whereas that of HbA1c remained. In two-category models, the same results were obtained. High FPG and HbA1c levels at <24 weeks of gestation were risk factors for HDP in pregnant Japanese women. In addition, high HbA1c levels were more strongly associated with HDP than high FPG levels.
Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) are adverse perinatal outcomes and risk factors for eclampsia, maternal and neonatal death, premature delivery, and fetal growth restriction [1]. Therefore, diagnosis of HDP at prenatal checkups is important for early treatment intervention and intensive care in tertiary hospitals.
Hyperglycemia during pregnancy is a common complication and remains a risk factor for HDP [2]. The Hyperglycemia and Adverse Pregnancy Outcome (HAPO) study demonstrated the associations between high fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels during 24–32 weeks of gestation with preeclampsia (PE), a subtype of HDP [3, 4]. Hyperglycemia during pregnancy is generally diagnosed using a 75-g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) during 24–28 weeks of gestation based on the results of the HAPO study. However, the diagnostic criteria differs depending on the country or organization because of the lack of evidence to diagnose hyperglycemia during early pregnancy [5]. Consequently, the association between the glucose metabolism status at <24 weeks of gestation and perinatal outcomes needs to be investigated [6-8]. Both FPG and HbA1c levels are used to detect hyperglycemia at <24 weeks of gestation [9, 10]. Even when the HbA1c level is <6.5% (<47 mmol/mol), the higher the HbA1c level, the higher the risk of HDP and other adverse pregnancy outcomes [11-13]. Nevertheless, the association between FPG level at <24 weeks of gestation and HDP remains unclear and has been inadequately investigated in pregnant Japanese women [14-16]. In addition, whether FPG or HbA1c is more strongly associated with HDP remains unclear. Identifying risk factors for HDP remains crucial, as the administration of low-dose aspirin (LDA) during early pregnancy in high-risk women could reduce occurrence of preterm PE. While both type 1 and type 2 diabetes mellitus are recognized risk factors for PE, and LDA use is recommended by the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists (ACOG) [17] and the Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) predictive model [18] for PE, hyperglycemia during early pregnancy is not accounted for in the predictive model for PE. The absence of consensus on diagnosing and intervening in hyperglycemia during early pregnancy and the unclear impact of intervention may contribute to its exclusion from the predictive model for PE.
Thus, this study aimed to assess the associations between FPG and HbA1c levels at <24 weeks of gestation with HDP among pregnant Japanese women. Additionally, it aimed to compare the relative strengths of these associations with HDP.
This study was a part of the “Babies and Their Parents Longitudinal Observation in Suzuki Memorial Hospital on Intrauterine period” (BOSHI) study, a prospective cohort study conducted at Suzuki Memorial Hospital, an obstetrical and gynecological hospital, in the Sendai city area, Miyagi Prefecture, Japan. The Suzuki Memorial Hospital is a regional hospital that provides care primarily for low-risk pregnancies. All study protocols were approved by the Institutional Review Board of Tohoku University School of Medicine (No. 2019-7) and the Hospital Review Board of Suzuki Memorial Hospital. Written informed consent was obtained from all participants. Details of the BOSHI study are described elsewhere [19, 20].
2.2 Measurement of FPG and HbA1cMaternal venous blood was collected after overnight fasting at <24 weeks of gestation, after informed consent was obtained from the participants. Both FPG and HbA1c levels, the exposures in this study, were measured by a subcontractor (SRL, Inc., Tokyo, Japan). The FPG levels were assayed using the hexokinase ultraviolet method (CicaLiquid GLU [EM] Reagent1; KANTO KAGAKU, Tokyo, Japan). The intra- and inter-assay coefficients of variation (CV) were 1.48% and 0%, respectively. The detection threshold was 2 mg/dL. The HbA1c levels were assayed using an enzymatic method (MetaboLead HbA1c; Minaris Medical, Tokyo, Japan). The intra- and inter-assay CV were 2.91% and 0%, respectively, and the detection threshold was 3.3% (National Glycohemoglobin Standardization Program [NGSP]). HbA1c levels were defined according to the NGSP, but they were recorded as the Japan Diabetes Society (JDS) value until April 1, 2012. Therefore, we converted the HbA1c level (JDS), measured until April 1, 2012, into HbA1c level (NGSP), using the following formula: HbA1c (NGSP) in % = HbA1c (JDS) in % * 1.02 + 0.25 [21]. We also described the HbA1c levels based on the International Federation of Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine (IFCC) using the following formula: IFCC HbA1c in mmol/mol = 10.93 * NGSP HbA1c in % – 23.52 [22].
2.3 Definition of HDPClinic blood pressure (CBP) was measured at each prenatal checkup. The method for measuring CBP has been previously described [20]. HDP, an outcome of this study, was diagnosed based on the CBP levels. The diagnosis of HDP was based on the Japan Society for the Study of Hypertension in Pregnancy guidelines [23]. HDP was defined as hypertension (CBP ≥140/90 mmHg) between 20 weeks of gestation and 12 weeks postpartum. HDP was subclassified into gestational hypertension, PE, superimposed preeclampsia, and eclampsia. Gestational hypertension was defined as persistent hypertension without proteinuria. PE was defined as new-onset hypertension and proteinuria (≥300 mg per day) between 20 weeks of gestation and 12 weeks postpartum. As this study focused on new-onset hypertension during pregnancy, participants with chronic hypertension and superimposed preeclampsia were excluded.
2.4 Data collectionData on maternal age, height, pre-pregnancy body weight (BW), parity, smoking status during pregnancy, alcohol intake, HDP in prior pregnancy, family history of hypertension, and family history of diabetes mellitus (DM) were collected using questionnaires at the first visit. Data on maternal BW on the day of blood sampling; conception method, including assisted reproductive technology (ART); gestational age at delivery; infant birth weight; and infant sex were collected from medical charts. Maternal hemoglobin (Hb) value at <24 weeks of gestation was also collected.
Pre-pregnancy body mass index (BMI) was calculated as pre-pregnancy BW in kilograms divided by the square of maternal height in meters. Gestational weight gain was calculated by subtracting the pre-pregnancy BW from maternal BW on the day of blood sampling. The seasons at the time of blood sampling were defined as follows: spring, March–May; summer, June–August; autumn, September–November; and winter, December–February.
2.5 Statistical analysisAll statistical analyses were conducted using SAS software Ver 9.4 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA). Continuous variables are presented as mean ± standard deviation (SD) or median (range), as appropriate. Categorical variables are expressed as numbers and percentages.
A multiple logistic regression model was applied to investigate the associations of FPG and HbA1c levels with HDP at <24 weeks of gestation. Model 1 was defined as the crude model. Model 2 was adjusted for maternal age, pre-pregnancy BMI, gestational weight gain, HDP in prior pregnancy, family history of hypertension, family history of DM, smoking status during pregnancy, alcohol intake, parity (primipara or not), conception by ART, season at the time of blood collection, and Hb levels at <24 weeks of gestation [19, 24, 25]. With reference to the previous study that both FPG and HbA1c levels also exhibit seasonality, the season at the time of blood collection, rather than the season at the time of conception or the season at delivery was adjusted in our study [25]. Model 3 was adjusted for mean arterial pressure (MAP) measured for the first time after conception (i.e., initial MAP) in addition to the variables in Model 2, because the BP level during early gestation might be a confounding factor [26]. A meta-analysis indicated that MAP is a better predictor of PE than systolic blood pressure (SBP) or diastolic blood pressure (DBP); therefore, MAP was included in Model 3 [27]. MAP was calculated using the following formula: MAP = DBP + (SBP – DBP)/3. The MAP at the time of collection of maternal venous blood was not included in the model because it was an intervening variable. No strong multicollinearity among the explanatory variables was confirmed based on the variance inflation factor using a general linear model with HDP as a continuous variable.
First, FPG and HbA1c levels were included separately in a multiple logistic regression model. The study participants were divided into quartiles of FPG at <24 weeks of gestation, and the lowest quartile (i.e., quartile 1) was set as the reference category. We also divided the participants into two categories based on the cutoff value with the maximum Youden index [28]. Similarly, the study participants were divided into quartiles and two categories based on their HbA1c levels. In addition, the linear trend association of the quartiles of FPG or HbA1c levels with HDP was tested. FPG and HbA1c levels were also included in the model separately as continuous variables per 1-SD increase. Second, both FPG and HbA1c levels were included in multiple logistic regression models simultaneously to compare the strengths of the associations of FPG and HbA1c levels with HDP at <24 weeks of gestation. Next, both FPG and HbA1c levels were simultaneously included in the models in three ways: quartile (i.e., four categories), two categories based on cutoff values that had the maximum Youden index, and continuous variables per 1-SD increase. A likelihood ratio test was performed to compare the goodness of fit between the two models (FPG vs. FPG + HbA1c). Additionally, the goodness of fit between the two models (HbA1c vs. HbA1c + FPG) was compared using the likelihood ratio test.
As several explanatory variables had missing data, we used multiple imputation when a multiple logistic regression model was used. The missing explanatory variables were both continuous and categorical, and the missing pattern was non-monotonic. Therefore, we applied multiple imputation using a chained equation (MICE). After 10 datasets were created using MICE, the same analysis was performed for each dataset. The results have been combined and reported in the manuscript. The likelihood ratio test after multiple imputation was performed using the SAS COMBCHI macro [29]. Statistical significance was defined as a two-sided p-value <0.05.
The flowchart of this study is shown in Fig. 1. A total of 1,450 pregnant women at <24 weeks of gestation consented to participate in this study between October 16, 2006, and October 7, 2011. Thirteen women who withdrew consent, 11 with twin pregnancies, 31 women whose FPG and HbA1c levels were not measured at <24 weeks of gestation, and four women who were diagnosed with overt diabetes in pregnancy were excluded. Twenty women with chronic hypertension, eight women who developed superimposed preeclampsia, 17 women who experienced stillbirth, and two women diagnosed with primary aldosteronism were excluded. Furthermore, 91 women with missing data on the development of HDP were excluded, along with 75 women who were transferred to other hospitals for GDM management, relocation, or other reasons. Finally, 1,178 Participants who gave birth at the Suzuki Memorial Hospital were analyzed.
HbA1c, glycosylated hemoglobin
The maternal and neonatal characteristics are shown in Table 1. The maternal age was 30.9 ± 4.9 (mean ± SD) years. The median gestational age at the time of blood collection was 13.0 (range 9.4–23.4) weeks. The FPG value was 83.1 ± 6.4 (mean ± SD) mg/dL. The HbA1c level (NGSP/IFCC) was 5.0 ± 0.3% (31 ± 3 mmol/mol) (mean ± SD). The initial MAP was 81 ± 10 (mean ± SD) mmHg. The number of cases of HDP was 136 (11.5%). The range of FPG levels was as follows: 63–79 mg/dL, quartile 1; 80–82 mg/dL, quartile 2; 83–86 mg/dL, quartile 3; and 87–125 mg/dL, quartile 4. The range of HbA1c levels in each quartile was as follows: 3.2–4.8% (11–28 mmol/mol), quartile 1; 4.9% (30 mmol/mol), quartile 2; 5.0–5.1% (31–32 mmol/mol), quartile 3; and 5.2–6.3% (33–45 mmol/mol), quartile 4.
Variables | All N = 1,178 |
---|---|
Maternal characteristics | |
Age, mean ± SD | 30.9 ± 4.9 |
<35 years, n (%) | 887 (75.3) |
≥35 years, n (%) | 291 (24.7) |
Pre-pregnancy BMI, kg/m2, mean ± SD | 21.7 ± 3.4 |
<18.5 kg/m2, n (%) | 144 (12.2) |
18.5–24.9 kg/m2, n (%) | 878 (74.5) |
≥25.0 kg/m2, n (%) | 156 (13.2) |
Gestational weight gain, kg, mean ± SD | 0.58 ± 2.4 |
Primipara, n (%) | 674 (57.2) |
ART, n (%) | 28 (2.4) |
Family history of diabetes mellitus, n (%) | |
Yes | 155 (13.1) |
No | 895 (76.0) |
Missing data | 128 (10.9) |
Family history of hypertension, n (%) | |
Yes | 401 (34.0) |
No | 651 (55.3) |
Missing data | 126 (10.7) |
HDP in prior pregnancy, n (%) | 37 (3.1) |
Smoking status, n (%) | |
No smoking before conception | 967 (82.1) |
Until conception was recognized | 163 (13.8) |
Smoking during pregnancy | 48 (4.1) |
Alcohol intake, n (%) | |
No alcohol intake before conception | 593 (50.3) |
Until conception was recognized | 573 (48.7) |
Alcohol intake during pregnancy | 12 (1.0) |
Gestational age at the time of blood collection, median (range) | 13.0 (9.4–23.4) |
FPG at <24 weeks of gestation, mean ± SD | 83.1 ± 6.4 |
HbA1c (NGSP, IFCC) at <24 weeks of gestation, %, mean ± SD | 5.0 ± 0.3, 31 ± 3 |
Initial clinic blood pressure level measured for the first time after conception, mmHg | |
SBP, mean ± SD | 110 ± 12 |
DBP, mean ± SD | 66 ± 10 |
MAP, mean ± SD | 81 ± 10 |
Clinic blood pressure level at the time of blood collection, mmHg | |
SBP, mean ± SD | 109 ± 11 |
DBP, mean ± SD | 67 ± 9 |
MAP, mean ± SD | 81 ± 9 |
Season at the time of blood collection, n (%) | |
Spring | 308 (26.2) |
Summer | 311 (26.4) |
Autumn | 230 (19.5) |
Winter | 329 (27.9) |
HDP, n (%) | 136 (11.5) |
Gestational hypertension, n (%) | 112 (9.5) |
Preeclampsia, n (%) | 24 (2.0) |
Delivery week, weeks | 39.7 ± 1.3 |
Preterm delivery, n (%) | 30 (2.6) |
Neonatal characteristics | |
Sex (male), n (%) | 589 (50.5) |
Birth weight, g, mean ± SD | 3,078 ± 396 |
Low birth weight infants (<2,500 g), n (%) | 72 (6.1) |
Macrosomia (≥4,000 g), n (%) | 11 (0.9) |
Data are shown as mean ± SD, median (range), or number (percentages).
Abbreviations: ART, assisted reproductive technology; BMI, body-mass index; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; FPG, fasting plasma glucose; HbA1c, glycosylated hemoglobin; HDP, hypertensive disorders of pregnancy; IFCC, International Federation of Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine; MAP, Mean blood pressure; NGSP, National Glycohemoglobin Standardization Program; SBP, systolic blood pressure; SD, standard deviation
Supplementary Tables 1 and 2 show the maternal and neonatal characteristics of the study participants according to the quartiles of FPG and HbA1c levels at <24 weeks of gestation, respectively. The numbers of GDM cases based on the results of 75-g OGTT were not be determined in our study. As shown in the Supplementary Table 3, the number and percentage of participants with both FPG levels of ≥92 mg/dL at <24 weeks of gestation and at ≥24 weeks of gestation was 11 (1.1%)
3.2 Association of FPG level at <24 weeks of gestation with HDPThe association between FPG levels at <24 weeks of gestation and HDP is shown in Fig. 2. Compared with the participants in quartile 1, those in quartile 4 had significantly higher odds of HDP in Models 1, 2, and 3. The adjusted odds ratios (ORs) in quartile 4 were 1.472 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.118–1.938) in Model 2 and 1.334 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.002–1.775) in Model 3. Quartiles 2 and 3 were not associated with HDP in Models 1, 2, and 3. p-values for the trend were as follows: 0.001, Model 1; 0.013, Model 2; and 0.088, Model 3.
a the cut off value based on Youden index
b 1-SD values were 6.4 mg/dL for FPG and 0.26% for HbA1c
c Model 2: Adjusted for maternal age, pre-pregnancy BMI, gestational weight gain, hemoglobin, HDP in prior pregnancy, family history of hypertension, family history of diabetes mellitus, smoking status during pregnancy, alcohol intake, parity (primipara or not), ART, and season at the time of blood collection
d Model 3 plus initial MAP
Abbreviations: ART, assisted reproductive technology; BMI, body-mass index; CI, confidence interval; FPG, fasting plasma glucose; HDP, hypertensive disorders of pregnancy; IFCC, International Federation of Clinical Chemistry; MAP, mean arterial pressure; NGSP, National Glycohemoglobin Standardization Program; OR, odds ratio
*Statistically significant (p-value <0.05)
The FPG level with the maximum Youden index was 84 mg/dL. Participants with an FPG level of ≥84 mg/dL had significantly higher odds than those with FPG levels <84 mg/dL. The adjusted ORs for participants with FPG levels ≥84 mg/dL were 1.274 (95% CI: 1.051–1.545) in Model 2 and 1.223 (95% CI: 1.000–1.496) in Model 3. When FPG was included in the model as a continuous variable per 1-SD increase, the adjusted ORs for HDP were 1.190 (95% CI: 1.000–1.415) in Model 2 and 1.134 (95% CI: 0.945–1.360) in Model 3.
3.3 Association of HbA1c level at <24 weeks of gestation with HDPThe association between HbA1c levels at <24 weeks of gestation and HDP is shown in Fig. 2. Participants in quartile 4 (HbA1c level of 5.2–6.3% [33–45 mmol/mol]) had significantly higher odds of HDP, compared to those in quartile 1 in Models 1, 2, and 3. The adjusted ORs for participants in quartile 4 were 1.476 (95% CI: 1.120–1.945) in Model 2 and 1.405 (95% CI: 1.051–1.878) in Model 3. p-values for the trend were as follows: <0.001, Model 1; 0.010, Model 2; and 0.027, Model 3. Quartiles 2 and 3 of HbA1c were not associated with HDP in Models 1, 2, and 3.
The HbA1c level that had the maximum Youden index was 5.2% (33 mmol/mol). Participants with HbA1c levels ≥5.2% had significantly higher odds than those with levels <5.2%. The adjusted ORs for participants with HbA1c levels ≥5.2% were 1.439 (95% CI: 1.171–1.769) in Model 2 and 1.393 (95% CI: 1.122–1.728) in Model 3. When HbA1c, as a continuous variable per 1-SD increase, was included in the model, the adjusted ORs of HDP were 1.191 (95% CI: 0.975–1.455) in Model 2 and 1.133 (95% CI: 0.922–1.394) in Model 3.
3.4 Comparison of FPG and HbA1c levels at <24 weeks of gestation in terms of HDPA comparison of the associations of FPG and HbA1c levels at <24 weeks of gestation in terms of HDP in Model 3 is shown in Fig. 3. When both FPG and HbA1c, as quartiles, were included in the models simultaneously, the adjusted ORs of quartile 4 were 1.260 (95% CI: 0.940–1.689) for FPG and 1.361 (95% CI: 1.014–1.828) for HbA1c in Model 3. The likelihood ratio test revealed an improved goodness of fit when HbA1c was included in the model in addition to FPG (p-values = 0.007) (Supplementary Table 4). When both FPG and HbA1c, divided into two categories based on the Youden index, were included in the models simultaneously, the adjusted ORs were 1.192 (95% CI: 0.972–1.461) for FPG and 1.367 (95% CI: 1.101–1.695) for HbA1c. The likelihood ratio test revealed an improved goodness of fit when HbA1c was included in the model in addition to FPG (p-values = 0.005) (Supplementary Table 5).
a The cut-off value based on Youden index
b 1-SD values were 6.4 mg/dL for FPG and 0.26% for HbA1c
c Both FPG and HbA1c levels at <24 weeks of gestation were included in the model simultaneously. Adjusted for initial MAP, maternal age, pre-pregnancy BMI, gestational weight gain, hemoglobin, HDP in prior pregnancy, family history of hypertension, family history of diabetes mellitus, smoking status during pregnancy, alcohol intake, parity (primipara or not), ART, and season at the time of blood collection
Abbreviations: ART, assisted reproductive technology; BMI, body-mass index; CI, confidence interval; FPG, fasting plasma glucose; HDP, hypertensive disorders of pregnancy; MAP, mean arterial pressure; OR, odds ratio; SD, standard deviation
*Statistically significant (p-value <0.05)
Neither FPG nor HbA1c was associated with HDP when both FPG and HbA1c, as per a 1-SD increase, were included in the models simultaneously. The goodness of fit did not improve in each model when FPG and HbA1c, as per the 1-SD increase, were included in the likelihood ratio test (Supplementary Table 6).
To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to show an association between FPG levels at <24 weeks of gestation and HDP in pregnant Japanese women without overt diabetes in pregnancy. High FPG and HbA1c levels at <24 weeks of gestation were risk factors for HDP in pregnant Japanese women. In addition, a higher HbA1c level was more strongly associated with HDP than a higher FPG level at <24 weeks of gestation.
The results of the association between FPG levels and HDP in this study are in line with those of previous studies. An FPG level of ≥110 mg/dL at <20 weeks of gestation is a risk factor for HDP [14]. An FPG level of ≥80 mg/dL during the first trimester is also a risk factor for PE [15]. However, Sesmilo et al. [16] reported that FPG levels during the first trimester were not associated with HDP. The inconsistency between the results of our study and those of Sesmilo’s study may be due to differences in maternal baseline characteristics and explanatory variables. In their study, the participants had a high mean maternal age of 34.2 years, and a high proportion of nulliparity (88.2%). In addition, their explanatory variables (maternal age, BMI, weeks of gestation when glycemia was observed, previous pregnancies, weight gain during pregnancy, and tobacco use) differed from those in our study. The participants in their study would be considered a higher-risk participants for HDP compared to those in our study and therefore, the strength of the association between FPG and HDP may have differed.
The result of the association between HbA1c levels and HDP in our study is consistent with those of previous studies. A total of 16,122 pregnant women in New Zealand with an HbA1c of 5.9–6.4% (40–46 mmol/mol) during early pregnancy had a significantly higher risk of PE compared to those with HbA1c levels <5.9% [11]. Pregnant women with an HbA1c level of 5.9–6.4% in the first trimester had a significantly higher risk of PE compared to those with an HbA1c level <5.9% [15]. In an ongoing birth cohort study in Japan, the adjusted OR per 1% increase in HbA1c level at <24 weeks of gestation was 1.77 (95% CI: 1.48–2.12) for HDP [13].
Our results of the association of FPG and HbA1c levels at <24 weeks of gestation with HDP were consistent with those of another study [15]. FPG levels were not a better predictor of pregnancy complications (macrosomia, preterm delivery, cesarean section, infant birth weight, and PE) than HbA1c levels [15]. A non-graded association was found between FPG levels >80 mg/dL and PE, but this was not a clinically useful cut-off point. In contrast, HbA1c levels beyond the 5.9% (41 mmol/mol) cut-off level were associated with a three-fold increased risk of PE.
The decisive reason for the HbA1c level during early pregnancy being a better predictor of the development of HDP than the FPG level is unclear. Theoretically, FPG measures blood glucose levels at a given time point, whereas HbA1c reflects long-term glucose control. In the general population, FPG appears to underestimate the burden of undiagnosed diabetes [30]. HbA1c levels may reflect large fluctuations in blood glucose levels during pregnancy [31].
The point estimates of the adjusted ORs for HDP in participants with FPG levels ≥87 or ≥84 mg/dL were high, and therefore, we do not discourage the measurement of FPG at the prenatal checkup. We suggest that medical institutions select between the measurement of FPG or HbA1c at <24 weeks of gestation to identify pregnant women at high risk of HDP by considering the necessity for fasting state, medical costs, and medical insurance coverage.
Although the etiology of HDP has not yet been clearly established, a two-stage disorder theory has been suggested as a mechanism for the development of HDP [32]. Reduced placental perfusion (stage I) due to factors such as abnormal trophoblast invasion and vascular remodeling of the spiral artery is thought to be the cause of the clinical manifestations of PE (stage II). Cawyer et al. [33] reported that hyperglycemia upregulates soluble endoglin, soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1), and interleukin-6 levels and downregulates placental growth factor (PlGF) and vascular endothelial growth factor levels, which induces anti-angiogenic milieu and inflammation [34]. Additionally, hyperglycemia inhibited cytotrophoblast invasion and induced an angiogenic imbalance, which may explain the association between hyperglycemia during early pregnancy and HDP.
It remains uncertain whether screening for Hyperglycemia during early pregnancy and implementing interventions for blood sugar regulation lead to improved pregnancy outcomes [35, 36]. However, identifying risk factors for HDP is crucial as initiating LDA during early pregnancy in high-risk women may lower the incidence of preterm PE, a subtype of HDP [17, 37]. Further investigation into glucose metabolism status (including FPG and HbA1c) during early pregnancy and its association with PE could help identify pregnant women at heightened risk of developing PE.
This study had some limitations. First, the sample size was not sufficient to evaluate the association between FPG levels and HDP subtypes, such as gestational hypertension and PE. In addition, four pregnant women with early-onset HDP who needed termination were excluded from this study because they were transferred to other hospitals that could provide care for preterm labor. Twelve women (8.8%) in 136 HDP cases had the clinical blood pressure exceeding diagnostic criteria for HDP at less than 34 weeks of gestation in this study. An HbA1c of 5.9–6.4% (40–46 mmol/mol) was a risk factor for adverse pregnancy outcomes, including HDP [10, 12, 14]. However, there were only two pregnant women (0.17%) with an HbA1c ≥5.9% (40 mmol/mol) at <24 weeks of gestation in this study. Therefore, we could not evaluate the association of an HbA1c level of ≥5.9% (40 mmol/mol) with HDP. Information on the implementation of the 75-g OGTT was not collected in this study. Therefore, we could not examine the association between the results of the 75-g OGTT at <24 weeks of gestation and HDP. Our study used data from more than 10 years ago. In Japan, the diagnostic criteria for GDM were revised in 2010 based on the results of HAPO study, and the impact of this change on the results of this study is unclear. Results in our study could not draw a definitive conclusion regarding whether or not to intervene for GDM during early pregnancy because information on intervention for GDM during early pregnancy was not collected. Both observational and randomized controlled studies on the diagnosis and intervention for GDM during early pregnancy, considering FPG and HbA1c levels, are needed in Japan. As shown in Supplementary Table 7, predictive ability for HDP using FPG or HbA1c levels at <24 weeks of gestation was limited in our study. Therefore, it is necessary to combine FPG or HbA1c levels at <24 weeks of gestation with other predictor variables for the improvement of the predictive ability for HDP. We could not evaluate the association between hyperglycemia and angiogenic imbalance because neither sFlt-1 nor PlGF levels were measured in this study.
In conclusion, high FPG and HbA1c levels at <24 weeks of gestation are risk factors for HDP. Moreover, HDP shows a stronger association with high HbA1c levels compared to high FPG levels. Further research on the association between hyperglycemia and HDP is needed to clarify the appropriate diagnoses and interventions for hyperglycemia during early pregnancy to prevent HDP.
We would like to acknowledge the study participants and contributions of the members of the BOSHI study described in the Supplementary Material. We would also like to thank Editage (https://www.editage.com/) for proofreading the manuscript.
SI performed statistical analyses and wrote the manuscript. NI contributed to the conception of the study, interpreted the data, and revised the manuscript. HH contributed to the interpretation of data and revised the figure design. TO, MI, and KH contributed to data collection and interpretation and revised the manuscript. M Sato, TM, M Saito, TS, SK, NY, and YI contributed to data interpretation and revised the manuscript. HM supervised the BOSHI study, contributed to data collection, interpreted the data, and revised the manuscript.
Omron Healthcare Co., Ltd. was not involved in the study design, statistical analysis, or the writing of the manuscript. Takashi Sugiyama is a member of Endocrine Journal’s Editorial Board.
FundingThis study was supported by Grants for Scientific Research (18590587, 18390192, 21390201, 24689061, 25253059, 26860412, 16H05243, 17K15857, 18K15837, 19H03905, and 21K10438) from the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology of Japan; a Grant-in-Aid (19DA1001) for Health Research on Children, Youth and Families, and (H21-Junkankitou [Seishuu]-Ippan-004) from the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, Health and Labour Sciences Research Grants, Japan; Grant (JP19gk0110039, JP24gn0110088) from AMED; a Grant-in-Aid for Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS) fellows (19.7152), and JSPS KAKENHI (JP19K18659). Additionally, academic contributions were received from Pfizer Japan Inc.; Bayer Academic Support; Takeda Research Support; Astellas Research Support, J&J Medical Research Grant and scholarship donations from Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Daiichi Sankyo Co., Ltd., and Otsuka Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.
Maternal and neonatal characteristics of study subjects according to quartiles of FPG level at <24 weeks of gestation (Supplementary Table 1) The higher the FPG level, the higher the proportion of HDP. In addition, the higher the FPG level, the higher the maternal age, prepregnancy BMI, and clinic blood pressure at the time of blood collection. |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Characteristics | FPG level at <24 weeks of gestation | |||
Quartile 1 (63–79 mg/dL) N = 334 |
Quartile 2 (80–82 mg/dL) N = 262 |
Quartile 3 (83–86 mg/dL) N = 313 |
Quartile 4 (87–125mg/dL) N = 269 |
|
Maternal characteristics | ||||
Age, mean ± SD | 30.6 ± 5.0 | 30.6 ± 4.6 | 31.2 ± 5.2 | 31.2 ± 4.7 |
<35 years, n (%) | 251 (75.2) | 208 (79.4) | 223 (71.3) | 205 (76.2) |
≥35 years, n (%) | 83 (24.9) | 54 (20.6) | 90 (28.8) | 64 (23.8) |
Pre-pregnancy BMI, kg/m2, mean ± SD | 20.8 ± 2.5 | 21.4 ± 2.9 | 21.8 ± 3.7 | 23.0 ± 3.9 |
<18.5 kg/m2, n (%) | 53 (15.9) | 30 (11.5) | 37 (11.8) | 24 (8.9) |
18.5–24.9 kg/m2, n (%) | 259 (77.5) | 200 (76.3) | 233 (74.4) | 186 (69.1) |
≥25.0 kg/m2, n (%) | 22 (6.6) | 32 (12.2) | 43 (13.7) | 59 (21.9) |
Gestational weight gain, kg, mean ± SD | 0.94 ± 2.5 | 0.42 ± 2.2 | 0.54 ± 2.5 | 0.33 ± 2.5 |
Primipara, n (%) | 186 (55.7) | 152 (58.0) | 182 (58.2) | 154 (57.3) |
ART, n (%) | 7 (2.1) | 6 (2.3) | 12 (3.8) | 3 (1.1) |
Family history of diabetes mellitus, n (%) | ||||
Yes | 45 (13.5) | 32 (12.2) | 40 (12.8) | 38 (14.1) |
No | 256 (76.6) | 204 (77.9) | 234 (75.7) | 201 (74.7) |
Missing data | 33 (9.9) | 26 (9.9) | 39 (12.5) | 30 (11.2) |
Family history of hypertension, n (%) | ||||
Yes | 105 (31.4) | 84 (32.0) | 113 (36.1) | 99 (36.8) |
No | 196 (58.7) | 151 (57.6) | 162 (51.8) | 142 (52.8) |
Missing data | 33 (9.9) | 27 (10.4) | 38 (12.1) | 28 (10.4) |
HDP in prior pregnancy, n (%) | 9 (2.7) | 9 (3.5) | 8 (2.6) | 11 (4.1) |
Smoking status, n (%) | ||||
No smoking before conception | 271 (81.1) | 223 (85.1) | 250 (79.9) | 223 (82.9) |
Until conception was recognized | 46 (13.8) | 30 (11.4) | 50 (15.9) | 37 (13.7) |
Smoking during pregnancy | 17 (5.1) | 9 (3.5) | 13 (4.2) | 9 (3.4) |
Alcohol intake, n (%) | ||||
No alcohol intake before conception | 188 (56.3) | 123 (47.0) | 149 (47.6) | 133 (49.4) |
Until conception was recognized | 146 (43.7) | 135 (51.5) | 158 (50.5) | 134 (49.8) |
Alcohol intake during pregnancy | 0 (0) | 4 (1.5) | 6 (1.9) | 2 (0.8) |
Gestational age at the time of blood collection, median (range) | 13.4 (10.0–22.0) | 13.3 (10.0–21.9) | 13.0 (9.4–22.3) | 13.2 (10.0–23.4) |
FPG at <24 weeks of gestation, mean ± SD | 76.6 ± 2.6 | 81.1 ± 0.8 | 84.4 ± 1.1 | 91.7 ± 6.2 |
HbA1c (NGSP, IFCC) at <24 weeks of gestation, %, mean ± SD | 5.0 ± 0.2, 31 ± 2 | 5.0 ± 0.3, 31 ± 3 | 5.1 ± 0.2, 32 ± 2 | 5.1 ± 0.3, 32 ± 3 |
Initial clinic blood pressure level measured for the first time after conception, mmHg | ||||
SBP, mean ± SD | 107 ± 11 | 110 ± 13 | 110 ± 12 | 113 ± 13 |
DBP, mean ± SD | 63 ± 9 | 65 ± 10 | 67 ± 9 | 68 ± 10 |
MAP, mean ± SD | 78 ± 9 | 80 ± 10 | 81 ± 10 | 83 ± 10 |
Clinic blood pressure level at the time of blood collection, mmHg | ||||
SBP, mean ± SD | 107 ± 10 | 108 ± 11 | 109 ± 11 | 112 ± 12 |
DBP, mean ± SD | 65 ± 8 | 66 ± 8 | 68 ± 9 | 70 ± 9 |
MAP, mean ± SD | 79 ± 8 | 80 ± 8 | 82 ± 9 | 84 ± 9 |
Season at the time of blood collection, n (%) | ||||
Spring | 92 (27.5) | 75 (28.6) | 77 (24.6) | 64 (23.8) |
Summer | 75 (22.5) | 73 (27.9) | 94 (30.0) | 69 (25.7) |
Autumn | 75 (22.5) | 47 (17.9) | 55 (17.6) | 53 (19.7) |
Winter | 92 (27.5) | 67 (25.6) | 87 (27.8) | 83 (30.9) |
HDP, n (%) | 25 (7.5) | 30 (11.5) | 36 (11.5) | 45 (16.7) |
Gestational hypertension, n (%) | 23 (6.9) | 28 (10.7) | 28 (9.0) | 33 (12.3) |
Preeclampsia, n (%) | 2 (0.6) | 2 (0.8) | 8 (2.6) | 12 (4.5) |
Delivery week, weeks, mean ± SD | 39.7 ± 1.2 | 39.7 ± 1.2 | 39.6 ± 1.4 | 39.8 ± 1.4 |
Preterm delivery, n (%) | 8 (2.4) | 6 (2.3) | 9 (2.9) | 7 (2.6) |
Neonatal characteristics | ||||
Sex (male), n (%) | 180 (53.9) | 125 (48.1) | 154 (50.2) | 130 (48.9) |
Birth weight, g, mean ± SD | 3,057 ± 367 | 3,047 ± 396 | 3,092 ± 391 | 3,118 ± 435 |
Low birth weight (<2,500 g), n (%) | 18 (5.4) | 21 (8.1) | 18 (5.8) | 15 (5.6) |
Macrosomia (≥4,000 g), n (%) | 1 (0.3) | 5 (1.9) | 2 (0.6) | 3 (1.1) |
ART, assisted reproductive technology; BMI, body mass index; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; FPG, fasting plasma glucose; HbA1c, glycosylated hemoglobin; HDP, hypertensive disorders of pregnancy; IFCC, International Federation of Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine; MAP, mean arterial pressure; NGSP, National Glycohemoglobin Standardization Program; SBP, systolic blood pressure; SD, standard deviation
Maternal and neonatal characteristics of study subjects according to quartiles of HbA1c level at <24 weeks of gestation (Supplementary Table 2) The higher the HbA1c level, the higher the proportion of HDP. The higher the HbA1c level, the higher were the maternal age and pre-pregnancy BMI. The proportions of preterm deliveries and low-birth-weight infants were higher in participants in quartile 4 than in those in quartiles 1–3. |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Characteristics | HbA1c level at <24 weeks of gestation | |||
Quartile 1 3.2–4.8% (11–28 mmol/mol) N = 310 |
Quartile 2 4.9% (30 mmol/mol) N = 183 |
Quartile 3 5.0–5.1% (31–32 mmol/mol) N = 396 |
Quartile 4 5.2–6.3% (33–45 mmol/mol) N = 289 |
|
Maternal characteristics | ||||
Age, mean ± SD | 29.9 ± 5.1 | 30.4 ± 4.9 | 30.8 ± 4.7 | 32.6 ± 4.7 |
<35 years, n (%) | 254 (82.0) | 148 (80.9) | 302 (76.3) | 183 (63.3) |
≥35 years, n (%) | 56 (18.0) | 35 (19.1) | 94 (23.7) | 106 (36.7) |
Prepregnancy BMI, kg/m2, mean ± SD | 21.3 ± 2.8 | 21.4 ± 2.9 | 21.8 ± 3.4 | 22.3 ± 3.8 |
<18.5 kg/m2, n (%) | 31 (10.0) | 32 (17.4) | 49 (12.4) | 32 (11.1) |
18.5–24.9 kg/m2, n (%) | 250 (80.7) | 128 (70.0) | 293 (74.0) | 207 (71.6) |
≥25.0 kg/m2, n (%) | 29 (9.3) | 23 (12.6) | 54 (13.6) | 50 (17.3) |
Gestational weight gain, kg, mean ± SD | 0.88 ± 2.7 | 0.70 ± 2.4 | 0.51 ± 2.5 | 0.26 ± 2.0 |
Primipara, n (%) | 205 (66.1) | 109 (59.6) | 232 (58.6) | 128 (44.3) |
ART, n (%) | 9 (2.9) | 6 (3.3) | 6 (1.5) | 7 (2.4) |
Family history of diabetes mellitus, n (%) | ||||
Yes | 36 (11.6) | 22 (12.0) | 48 (12.1) | 49 (17.0) |
No | 250 (80.7) | 147 (80.3) | 301 (76.0) | 197 (68.1) |
Missing data | 24 (7.7) | 14 (7.7) | 47 (11.9) | 43 (14.9) |
Family history of hypertension, n (%) | ||||
Yes | 97 (31.3) | 65 (35.5) | 138 (34.8) | 101 (35.1) |
No | 189 (61.0) | 105 (57.4) | 213 (53.8) | 143 (49.7) |
Missing data | 24 (7.7) | 13 (7.1) | 38 (11.4) | 44 (15.2) |
HDP in prior pregnancy, n (%) | 4 (1.3) | 9 (4.9) | 8 (2.6) | 13 (4.5) |
Smoking status, n (%) | ||||
No smoking before conception | 250 (80.6) | 143 (78.1) | 328 (82.8) | 246 (85.1) |
Until conception was recognized | 45 (14.5) | 32 (17.5) | 53 (13.3) | 33 (11.4) |
Smoking during pregnancy | 15 (4.9) | 8 (4.4) | 15 (3.9) | 10 (3.5) |
Alcohol intake, n (%) | ||||
No alcohol intake before conception | 180 (58.1) | 121 (66.1) | 236 (59.6) | 183 (63.4) |
Until conception was recognized | 125 (40.5) | 61 (33.3) | 154 (38.9) | 105 (36.5) |
Alcohol intake during pregnancy | 4 (1.4) | 1 (0.6) | 6 (1.5) | 1 (0.3) |
Gestational age at the time of blood collection, median (range) | 13.3 (10.0–22.4) | 12.9 (10.1–22.9) | 12.9 (10.0–23.4) | 12.7 (9.4–19.4) |
FPG at <24 weeks of gestation, mean ± SD | 81.7 ± 6.4 | 82.4 ± 5.8 | 83.3 ± 6.4 | 84.8 ± 6.5 |
HbA1c (NGSP, IFCC) at <24 weeks of gestation, %, mean ± SD median(IQR) | 4.7 ± 0.2, 27 ± 3 | 4.9 ± 0, 30 ± 0 | 5.0 ± 0.1, 31 ± 1 | 5.4 ± 0.2, 35 ± 2 |
Initial clinic blood pressure level measured for the first time after conception, mmHg | ||||
SBP, mean ± SD | 108 ± 12 | 111 ± 12 | 110 ± 12 | 111 ± 12 |
DBP, mean ± SD | 64 ± 10 | 66 ± 10 | 66 ± 9 | 67 ± 10 |
MAP, mean ± SD | 78 ± 10 | 81 ± 10 | 81 ± 9 | 82 ± 10 |
Clinic blood pressure level at the time of blood collection, mmHg | ||||
SBP, mean ± SD | 108 ± 12 | 110 ± 11 | 109 ± 11 | 110 ± 12 |
DBP, mean ± SD | 64 ± 10 | 68 ± 9 | 67 ± 8 | 68 ± 9 |
MAP, mean ± SD | 80 ± 8 | 82 ± 9 | 81 ± 9 | 82 ± 10 |
Season at the time of blood collection, n (%) | ||||
Spring | 77 (24.8) | 43 (23.5) | 101 (25.5) | 87 (30.1) |
Summer | 72 (23.2) | 51 (27.9) | 117 (29.6) | 71 (24.6) |
Autumn | 69 (22.3) | 39 (21.3) | 73 (18.4) | 49 (17.0) |
Winter | 92 (29.7) | 50 (27.3) | 105 (26.5) | 82 (28.3) |
HDP, n (%) | 26 (8.4) | 18 (9.8) | 38 (9.6) | 54 (18.7) |
Gestational hypertension, n (%) | 20 (6.5) | 14 (7.7) | 32 (8.1) | 46 (15.9) |
Preeclampsia, n (%) | 6 (1.9) | 4 (2.2) | 6 (1.5) | 8 (2.8) |
Delivery week, weeks, mean ± SD | 39.7 ± 1.4 | 39.5 ± 1.3 | 39.8 ± 1.2 | 39.5 ± 1.3 |
Preterm delivery, n (%) | 8 (2.6) | 4 (2.2) | 6 (1.5) | 12 (4.2) |
Neonatal characteristics | ||||
Sex (male), n (%) | 164 (53.4) | 78 (41.5) | 209 (52.8) | 138 (47.8) |
Birth weight, g, mean ± SD | 3,036 ± 403 | 3,047 ± 396 | 3,092 ± 391 | 3,097 ± 388 |
Low birth weight (<2,500 g), n (%) | 21 (6.8) | 11 (6.0) | 17 (4.3) | 23 (8.0) |
Macrosomia (≥4,000 g), n (%) | 3 (1.0) | 1 (0.5) | 5 (1.3) | 2 (0.7) |
ART, assisted reproductive technology; BMI, body mass index; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; FPG, fasting plasma glucose; HbA1c, glycosylated hemoglobin; HDP, hypertensive disorders of pregnancy; IFCC, International Federation of Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine; MAP, mean arterial pressure; NGSP, National Glycohemoglobin Standardization Program; SBP, systolic blood pressure; SD, standard deviation
FPG level at <24 weeks of gestation | |||
---|---|---|---|
<92 mg/dL (N = 960) | ≥92 mg/dL (N = 84) | ||
FPG level at ≥24 weeks of gestation | <92 mg/dL (N = 991) | 918 (87.9%) | 73 (7.0%) |
≥92 mg/dL (N = 53) | 42 (4.0%) | 11 (1.1%) |
FPG, fasting plasma glucose
Models | Δ (vs. Model N) (Degrees of freedom) |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|
Δ (vs. each model) | Degrees of freedom |
p-value | ||
Model A FPG (Quartiles) |
4.421 (3) | 4.421a | 3 | 0.036 |
Model B HbA1c (Quartiles) |
8.836 (3) | 8.836a | 3 | 0.003 |
Model C FPG (Quartiles) + HbA1c (Quartiles) |
11.70 (6) | 7.288b | 3 | 0.007 |
2.872c | 3 | 0.091 |
Δ = –2Log Likelihood (model k) – [–2Log Likelihood (model k + α)]
a Relative to Model N.
b Relative to Model A.
c Relative to Model B.
Model N was a multiple logistic regression model including maternal age, pre-pregnancy BMI, gestational weight gain, hemoglobin, HDP in prior pregnancy, family history of hypertension, family history of diabetes mellitus, smoking status during pregnancy, alcohol intake, parity (primipara or not), ART, season at the time of blood collection, and initial MAP.
Model A was a multiple logistic regression model with FPG (quartiles) in addition to Model N.
Model B was a multiple logistic regression model with HbA1c (quartiles) in addition to Model N.
Model C was a multiple logistic regression model including both HbA1c (quartiles) and FPG (quartiles) levels in addition to Model N.
ART, assisted reproductive technology; BMI, body mass index; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; FPG, fasting plasma glucose; HbA1c, glycosylated hemoglobin; HDP, hypertensive disorders of pregnancy; MAP, mean arterial pressure
Models | Δ (vs. Model N) (Degrees of freedom) |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|
Δ (vs. each model) | Degrees of freedom |
p-value | ||
Model A FPG (≥84 mg/dL vs. <84 mg/dL) |
3.860 (1) | 3.861a | 1 | 0.049 |
Model B HbA1c (≥5.2% vs. <5.2%) |
8.832 (1) | 8.832a | 1 | 0.003 |
Model C FPG (≥84 mg/dL vs. <84 mg/dL) + HbA1c (≥5.2% vs. <5.2%) |
11.69 (2) | 7.830b | 1 | 0.005 |
2.858c | 1 | 0.091 |
Δ = –2Log Likelihood (model k) – [–2Log Likelihood (model k + α)]
a Relative to Model N.
b Relative to Model A.
c Relative to Model B.
Model N was a multiple logistic regression model including maternal age, pre-pregnancy BMI, gestational weight gain, hemoglobin, HDP in prior pregnancy, family history of hypertension, family history of diabetes mellitus, smoking status during pregnancy, alcohol intake, parity (primipara or not), ART, season at the time of blood collection, and initial MAP.
Model A was a multiple logistic regression model with FPG (two categories based on the Youden index) in addition to Model N.
Model B was a multiple logistic regression model with HbA1c (two categories based on the Youden index) in addition to Model N.
Model C was a multiple logistic regression model including both HbA1c (Youden index) and FPG (Youden index) levels in addition to Model N.
ART, assisted reproductive technology; BMI, body mass index; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; FPG, fasting plasma glucose; HbA1c, glycosylated hemoglobin; HDP, hypertensive disorders of pregnancy; MAP, mean arterial pressure
Models | Δ (vs. Model N) (Degrees of freedom) |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|
Δ (vs. each model) | Degrees of freedom |
p-value | ||
Model A FPG (continuous variables) |
1.771 (1) | 1.771a | 1 | 0.183 |
Model B HbA1c (continuous variables) |
1.455 (1) | 1.455a | 1 | 0.228 |
Model C FPG (continuous variables) + HbA1c (continuous variables) |
2.884 (2) | 1.113b | 1 | 0.290 |
1.429c | 1 | 0.232 |
Δ = –2Log Likelihood (model k) – [–2Log Likelihood (model k + α)]
a Relative to Model N.
b Relative to Model A.
c Relative to Model B.
Model N was a multiple logistic regression model with maternal age, pre-pregnancy BMI, gestational weight gain, hemoglobin, HDP in prior pregnancy, family history of hypertension, family history of diabetes mellitus, smoking status during pregnancy, alcohol intake, parity (primipara or not), ART, season at the time of blood collection, and initial MAP.
Model A was a multiple logistic regression model with FPG (per 1-SD increase), in addition to Model N.
Model B was a multiple logistic regression model including HbA1c (per 1-SD increase) in addition to Model N.
Model C was a multiple logistic regression model including both HbA1c (per 1-SD increase) and FPG (per 1-SD increase), in addition to Model N.
ART, assisted reproductive technology; BMI, body mass index; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; FPG, fasting plasma glucose; HbA1c, glycosylated hemoglobin; HDP, hypertensive disorders of pregnancy; MAP, mean arterial pressure
Variables | AUC (95% CI)a |
Cut-off value based on Youden index |
Sensitivity (95% CI) |
Specificity (95% CI) |
PPV (95% CI) |
NPV (95% CI) |
Positive LR (95% CI) |
Negative LR (95% CI) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FPG (mg/dL) | 0.58 (0.52–0.63) |
84 | 0.56 (0.48–0.64) |
0.60 (0.57–0.63) |
0.15 (0.12–0.19) |
0.91 (0.90–0.93) |
1.38 (1.17–1.63) |
0.74 (0.61–0.90) |
HbA1c (%) | 0.59 (0.53–0.64) |
5.2 | 0.40 (0.32–0.48) |
0.78 (0.75–0.80) |
0.19 (0.14–0.23) |
0.91 (0.89–0.93) |
1.77 (1.40–2.24) |
0.78 (0.68–0.90) |
a Difference in the AUCs between FPG level and HbA1c level at <24 weeks of gestation was not statistically significant (p-value = 0.89 based on the Delong’s test)
Abbreviations: AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristics curve; CI, confidence interval; FPG, fasting plasma glucose; LR, likelihood ratio; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value