蓄熱空調設備を有するビル施設の需要再予測・機器運用再計画による運用手法の評価

抄録

Efficient equipment operations by using energy demand forecast and optimized operation schedule have become common. To reduce the influence of forecasted errors, it is effective to apply re-forecast methods that updates the forecasted value using the actual demand at the last minute and re-schedule methods. Therefore, this paper shows these effectiveness and limitations based on the quantitatively evaluation for office buildings with heat storage facilities. We first propose a novel forecast method with re-forecast. Next, we have performed numerical simulations of equipment operation including re-schedule to clarify the quantitative effects of re-forecast and re-schedule. Finally, through the analysis of these results, we have identified issues for further improvement of energy utilization efficiency.