電気学会論文誌B(電力・エネルギー部門誌)
Online ISSN : 1348-8147
Print ISSN : 0385-4213
ISSN-L : 0385-4213
論文
高時間解像度の発電部門を持つエネルギーシステム技術選択モデルによるCO2削減シナリオの分析
川上 恭章小宮山 涼一藤井 康正
著者情報
ジャーナル 認証あり

2018 年 138 巻 5 号 p. 382-391

詳細
抄録

This paper develops a bottom-up energy system model, the power generation sector of which holds high temporal resolution so as to precisely analyze the massive deployment of intermittent renewables such as PV and wind, and to consider a number of technological features of power generation such as load following, minimum output and regular maintenance. The model has high inter-annual time resolution of ten minutes for 365 days, while most MARKAL/TIMES models have only two diurnal and three seasonal time-slices. The developed model is cast as linear programming model with ten million constraints and five million endogenous variables. Simulation analysis on CO2 reduction toward 2030 in Japan reveals that decarbonization at power generation sector has a substantial role to mitigate the CO2 emissions rather than improving energy efficiency at final energy demand sectors. Moreover, comparison analysis with low temporal resolution model finds out that the low resolution model would overestimate the optimal installation capacity of the PV systems because it cannot consider their intermittent feature well.

著者関連情報
© 2018 電気学会
前の記事 次の記事
feedback
Top