2016 年 9 巻 p. 30-41
This study examines the momentum effect in Japanese stock returns on the basis of market conditions. Although previous studies did not find a momentum effect in Japanese stock returns, this study provides evidence that significant momentum profits exist for a particular market condition. When the market is divided into UP and DOWN states, momentum profits are found in the UP market states. A further classification of UP and DOWN market states on the basis of subsequent continuation and reversion (UP-UP, UP-DOWN, DOWN-UP, and DOWN-DOWN) indicates that momentum profits are evident only in the reverting UP states (UP-DOWN). I argue that investors' under-reaction to information causes momentum profits in the reverting UP states in Japan.