わが国でのアフリカ豚コレラ発生が地域経済に及ぼす影響

－地域間産業連関分析によるアプローチ－

抄録

The African Swine Fever (ASF) is one of the swine diseases with a high mortality rate. Thus far, there is no effective vaccine that has been developed, and there are no alternative means to stop the spread of infection other than killing the infected swine. The aim of this study is to evaluate the impact of ASF prevalence in Japan. We evaluate the impact of reduction in swine production by 10% due to the prevalence of ASF by using inter-regional input-output model. The result shows the value added is deduced by around 31 billion yen in cases where ASF pervades Kanto or Kyushu region – the area where experts think the ASF most likely strike.