中国における出生力変化と家族

吉林省農村の場合

抄録

This paper seeks to explore how Chinese couples' family-building behavior is influenced by socioeconomic, emographic, cultural, and policy factors, focusing on rural areas of Jilin Province. Specifically, we first look at socioeconomic conditions, dominant family values, and changes in the family planning program in Jilin. Next, we analyze changes in the level and the age/parity structure of fertility in rural Jilin during 1971-1985, utilizing the 1985 Survey on Rural Fertility and Living Standards. After examining changes in the rate of cceptance of a one-child certificate between 1982-1985, we then attempt to explain quantitatively what factors ropel or discourage rural Jilin couples in their acceptance of a certificate, by conducting logistic regression analysis.
Major findings of this paper are as follows: (1) Rural Jilin experienced a dramatic fertility decline following the implementation of the one-child family policy in 1979. (2) This decline was due primarily to curtailment of childbearing after first births by married women, especially those in their twenties. (3) Couples' acceptance of a one-child certificate was found to be influenced by the sex of child, women's ethnicity, women'sage and education, husband's educatdon, and such attitudinal factors as the ideal number of children and perception of one's own living standards.