Abstract
Temporary two lane section which has a problem in safety and travelling performance accounts for large percent of expressway in Hokkaido. As a result, expressway using rate of freight cars is low. Freight cars for long distance trips using general road can especially cause a traffic jam and reduce a traffic safety. Therefore, it is significant to increase the rate of using expressway of freight cars.
In recent years, advance in information process technology enables a collection of probe car data from which we can recognize the traffic conditions of each car (speed, route, etc).
In this paper, we construct an expressway choice model with parameters estimated in disaggregate logit model based on the freight car probe data in consideration of existence of temporary two lane section and travel time, travel cost, etc. In addition, we predict the effect of promotion of using temporary two lane section by using the model.