土木学会論文集B2(海岸工学)
Online ISSN : 1883-8944
Print ISSN : 1884-2399
ISSN-L : 1883-8944
論文
2013年台風30号Haiyanによる高潮の予測可能性と再解析精度
森 信人澁谷 容子竹見 哲也金 洙列安田 誠宏丹羽 竜也辻尾 大樹間瀬 肇
著者情報
キーワード: 高潮, 台風, フィリピン, 予測
ジャーナル フリー

2014 年 70 巻 2 号 p. I_246-I_250

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抄録

Typhoon Haiyan, which struck the Philippines and nearby areas in November 2013, was an extremely intense tropical cyclone that had a catastrophic impact. A series of numerical analyses indicated that the maximum storm surge level was 5-6 m in Tacloban. The numerical experiments show the coherent structure of the storm surge profile due to the specific bathymetry of Leyte Gulf and the Philippines Trench as a major contributor to the storm surge disaster in Leyte Gulf. Based on the comparisons of forecasts and hindcasts, it was difficult to predict the storm surge a few days in advance, quantitatively.

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