Study on the Probability of Minor Fire Based on Fire Statistics

Abstract

The authors have aimed at developing a new evacuation safety verification method based on the concept of fire risk. In this method, it is important to estimate the ratios of fire occurrence and fire spread appropriately. However, understandings for setting the appropriate values of these parameters are not sufficient. In this paper, the authors have focused on minor fires, and analyzed factors leading to the minor fires. We analyze relationships between the minor fire and the staying time, the fire alarm system installation or the total floor area by using fire statistical data of 1995 - 2008.