2013年ドイツ連邦議会選挙の分析と連邦政治への含意

抄録

The triumph of the CDU/CSU at the Bundestagswahl 2013, depends not only on the estimates of voters in regard to Chancellor Merkel, but also on those of the party’s abilities to carry out various policies. After the Bundestagswahl 2013, there are some transformations in both the security and migration policies. There were also transformations in the “fluid five party system”. While there was a hardening of the structure where the CDU/CSU has a one-sided superiority over the SPD in large parties, there continued to be a fluidity in the relation among the smaller parties and this strengthened the fragmentation. The coalition types became more complicated. The FDP lost its role as the “core” of the party system, and it is in crisis as for its “raison d’être.” The 3rd place is given from the FDP to the Greens, albeit it competes with the Leftist parties. The AfD changed from being “the smallest” to a “small” party.