Epidemiological factors associated with COVID-19 clusters in medical and social welfare facilities

Abstract

Characteristics of COVID-19 clusters in medical and social welfare facilities, and factors associated with cluster size are still not fully understood. We reviewed COVID-19 cases identified from January 15 to April 30 of 2020 in Japan, and analyzed factors associated with cluster size in medical and social welfare facilities. In the study, COVID-19 clusters were identified in 56 medical and 34 social welfare facilities. Numbers of cases in those facilities reached their peaks after the peak of general population. Duration of occurrence of new cases in clusters showed a positive correlation with the number of cases in both types of facilities (rho = 0.44, p < 0.001; and rho = 0.69, p < 0.001, respectively). However, number of days between the first case in the prefecture and the onset of clusters showed a negative correlation with the number of cases only in clusters in social welfare facilities (rho = -0.4, p = 0.004). Our results suggested that COVID-19 cases in those facilities were prevalent in the latter phase of the community transmissions, although the underlying mechanisms for such trend could be different between medical and social welfare facilities.