アジア研究
Online ISSN : 2188-2444
Print ISSN : 0044-9237
ISSN-L : 0044-9237
66 巻, 1 号
選択された号の論文の6件中1~6を表示しています
論説
  • 王 佳
    2020 年 66 巻 1 号 p. 1-20
    発行日: 2020/01/31
    公開日: 2020/03/12
    ジャーナル フリー

    Since 2000, the real estate market in China faced many price increases. The Chinese government has implemented various price restraint policies in order to hold back the rise in housing prices. However, despite the implementation of such policies, housing prices continued to soar. This brings into question the effectiveness of policies implemented by the government. Many argue that the root cause of rising house prices in China lies in the excessive monetary easing.

    The purpose of this paper is to analyze the relationship between the financial system (including the exchange rate system, the financial structure and the monetary policy) and housing prices in China using the panel VAR model. Furthermore, it aims to analyze the connections between each financial sub-system and housing prices.

    The results of the analysis can be brought down to four points. First, raising the reserve ratio against deposits will raise housing prices. Second, official interest rates of loans have no significant impact on housing prices. Third, the expansion of domestic loan increases housing prices. Fourth, the decline of the RMB vs. USD rate contributes to the rise in housing prices.

    Based on the results of the analysis, it can be concluded that the rise in housing prices in China is not due to financial factors alone. The surge in housing prices is a phenomenon triggered by multiple factors related to China’s land, fiscal and financial systems, and so on, thus being a phenomenon rooted in the Chinese economic structure.

    These multilayered institutions in China have interacted with each other, creating a structural housing bubble following the rise of housing prices. Monetary tightening policies that regard the official interest rates of loans or the reserve ratio against deposits are not enough when trying to limit the upswing of housing prices. Therefore, to curb the rise in housing prices, other structural aspects must be considered (such as China’s land, fiscal and financial systems). Local governments that rely on land finance greatly contribute to housing price hikes through interventions in the financial system, which is why reforms that reduce such governmental incentives are necessary. Consequently, reforms that deal with the lack of financial resources within local governments are needed, one such option being that of reviewing the financial relationship between the central and the local governments.

研究ノート
  • 大泉 さやか
    2020 年 66 巻 1 号 p. 21-36
    発行日: 2020/01/31
    公開日: 2020/03/12
    ジャーナル フリー

    This paper investigates the control exerted by the Vietnamese government on the distribution and performance of South Vietnam era songs after the end of the Vietnam war—which is referred to as the Liberation of the South—and explains why the government recently announced the abolition of the special control system intended to censor these songs.

    Soon after the end of the Vietnam war, the government prohibited South Vietnam era songs, due to their decadent and antigovernment characteristics. However, Vietnamese people living overseas, most of whom had been exiled from former South Vietnam to Western countries, have continued to sing these songs in their communities.

    From the latter half of the 1980’s, Vietnam incentivized Vietnamese people living overseas to return, either temporarily or permanently, because of their financial potential. The government also gradually eased restrictions on South Vietnam era songs.

    Until 1999, several government agencies maintained control on the use of South Vietnam era songs. Until 2012, provincial-level government agencies remained in control of local stage performances. After 2012, the Department of Performing Arts (DPA), under the Ministry of Culture, Sports and Tourism, was tasked with controlling permissions related to songs composed in South Vietnam before 1975 and overseas, and in 2016, the range of the DPA’s control expanded to songs composed before 1975 and overseas. Ongoing debates reveal that the contemporary censorship system had already reached its limit because (1) no authoritative entity, including the DPA itself, fully understands which songs had been permitted since the end of the 1980’s, and (2) the DPA cannot control the vast number of songs that fall under the literal interpretation of the present decree, as “the songs composed before 1975” technically includes all songs composed in Northern Vietnam before 1975.

    Considering Vietnamese song markets, Vietnamese singers living or traveling internationally tend to return or expand their business to Vietnam due to the international markets’ shrinkage; this encourages singers to refrain from engaging in politically sensitive activities in international communities. From around 2012, Boléro songs, which are often South Vietnam era songs, have comprised a major trend in Vietnam. However, people superficially refer to nostalgia for songs that were sang in former Saigon, concealing the South-Vietnamese identity of these songs.

    The Vietnamese government intends to remove the special control system to overcome such procedural limitations, accompanied by the atmosphere in Vietnamese song markets as they attempt to limit the proliferation political messages in South Vietnam era songs.

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