A study is carried out on the mean monthly values of in situ observations of solar wind velocity (
V) and the intensity of interplanetary magnetic field,
B to elucidate their long term variations using the technique of singular spectrum analysis. It is shown that
B exhibits a clear solar cycle signal with progressively deepening minimum and a well-defined longer period variation but
V is marked by a -9-yr cycle. Time variations in the amplitude of 16-month periodicity, observed sporadically in the velocity earlier by others are clearly brought out, as also the characteristic amplitude changes in a 42-month signal in velocity. It appears that time intervals which show certain significant fluctuations in
B are marked by the absence of similar signal in
V.
aa index is next used as a proxy for solar wind velocity, after establishing a good correlation between Ap and observed
V so that we could examine the evolution of different periodicities over 14 solar cycles. A significant trend with least value in 1900 and a near-linear rise up to 1960 is shown to be the main feature of the velocity change. The solar cycle component in
V lags the solar activity peak by -22 months. Streams emanating from coronal holes in the declining phase seem to be the most dominant contributor to the 11-year variation in velocity. The anomalous pattern of changes in V observed in cycle 20 is not present in any of the other 13 cycles.
Statistical relationships between
V, B and plasma density (
N) with
Ap are studied and it is shown that over three solar cycles (20, 21 and 22) the patterns are almost the same with a slight change observed in cycle 21. IMF
B and
Ap are linearly related over a wide range of
Ap values from close to 0 up to about 60, whereas density/
Ap relation appears insignificant. In case of
V, an initial rapid rise in
V causes moderate changes in
Ap but for velocity in excess of 700 km/sec, the enhancement in geomagnetic activity is more rapid. From the statistical relation of several other solar wind/IMF parameters, their variability and combinations with
Ap, one sees linear relation for solar wind electric field, n/s component of IMF and variability in the components of
B. An estimate is made of the base level of the magnetosphere, corresponding to quiet levels of geomagnetic activity.
抄録全体を表示