Tokashiki Island with convenient access from urban areas and blessed with rich marine resources, attracts numerous tourists seeking recreational activities such as diving and snorkeling. The island heavily relies on a tourism industry centered on marine resources. However, with the escape and rapid increase in the population of Japanese boars, which were initially introduced as livestock, various damages have become evident. Particularly in recent years, a major concern for local tourism industry stakeholders has been the predation of sea turtle eggs by boars because sea turtles are highly popular marine creatures among snorkelers and divers. Identifying the locations of sea turtle egg predation by wild boars and examining the conditions and situations that increase the likelihood of damage are crucial tasks in considering measures to mitigate the impact. Therefore, in this study, we analyze the factors influencing egg predation using a two-variable logistic regression model. The damage site data from on-site surveys conducted during the 2023 nesting season were utilized along with topographical, land-use, and vegetation data. Explanatory variables included in the regression analysis are average slope angle around the damage sites, predominant vegetation around the damage sites, distance to buildings, distance to roads, distance to rivers, and width of the sandy beach. Results from the regression analysis revealed that the predominant vegetation surrounding the damage sites and the width of the sandy beach significantly influence the risk of damage. Despite encountering challenges during the regression analysis, such as utilizing data from a single year’s nesting season, relatively coarse geographical information, and limited explanatory variables, future endeavors should focus on collecting and accumulating more data for a more comprehensive analysis. Nevertheless, this analysis underscores the value of information provided by such studies in establishing spatial priorities for implementing measures to capture wild boars and protect sea turtle eggs in the future.
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