Hydrological Research Letters
Online ISSN : 1882-3416
ISSN-L : 1882-3416
16 巻, 3 号
選択された号の論文の1件中1~1を表示しています
  • Shingo Zenkoji, Taichi Tebakari, Kazutoshi Sakakibara
    2022 年 16 巻 3 号 p. 67-72
    発行日: 2022年
    公開日: 2022/09/30
    ジャーナル オープンアクセス
    電子付録

    Using deep learning to identify meteorological factors has enabled optimal predictions of Thailand’s seasonal precipitation two months in advance. A combination of surface temperature and pressure, specific humidity, and wind speed (zonal and meridional components) was tested. Examining each combination of meteorological factor has created optimal input data for seasonal precipitation forecasts. In addition, the hyperparameters of each model were calculated by Bayesian optimization. Predictive model performance tended to be better when the weight for pressure was higher, while a higher weight for specific humidity reduced predictive performance. Finally, visualization of the positive neuron values in all the coupled layers of the first layer showed that the regions with the highest frequency of occurrence were the El Niño monitoring areas such as the “Indian Ocean Basin Wide” (IOBW) and “NINO WEST”.

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