Epidemiology should be the guide line of cancer control mainly through the study of size of the problem and of etiology. The existing strategies for cancer control were reviewed classifying cancer prevention in primary (causative), secondary (early detection) and thirdly (prolong ation of survival).
Current programmes of stomach and cervical cancer screening were judged as effective by downward trend in mortality rate and also by comparison of mortality rate between screened group and non screened group. During past 15 years male stomach cancer mortality rate for age 45-49 has decreased by 29%. This is in correspondence with our results of field observation in Kanagawa Prefecture on the mortality rate in screened and unscreened population: a 20% decline in the former group.
Apparently there is a need to broaden the existing cancer control measures to include prevention and early detection of cancer of the other site; such as cancer of the breast which does not show any tendency of decline and cancer of the lung, bladder, pancreas, and leukemia which show rapid increase in recent years. Total cancer mortality rate is expected to come down when conventional control activities of cancer of the stomach and cervix and newly introduced control measures against above mentioned cancers are combined. Much progress has taken place in the study of etiology of cancer in man.
A combined effect of air pollution and cigarette smoking on lung cancer was clearly demonstrated. A combined effect of alcohol drinking and cigarette smoking on cancer of the esophagus was also found by both retrospective and prospective studies. A census population based cohort study covering 265, 118. Adults aged 40 or older has been in progress since 1965. A significant excess risk due to cigarette smoking was observed for cancers of lung, larynx, mouth, prostate, esophagus, stomach, pancreas and liver. An additive effect of daily meat intake and cigarette smoking was also observed for cancer of the pancreas and lung. A significant effect of diet on the frequency of stomach cancer was also demonstrated by comparison of highly endemic areas and low endemic areas (Okinawa) and also by retrospective and prospective studies. Higher intake of mlik, meat and green yellow vegetables, of calcium and vitamin A appeared to be beneficial in reducing the risk of stomach cancer.
Hormons also appear to give strong influence on the risk of certain cancers such as of breast.
By series of epidemiological studies, a lower risk was found for late starter of first menses, for multi-parous women and especially for oophorectomized women. As shown by animal model, a combined effect of viral factors and hormonal factors is likely operating to raise the risk of breast cancer in man.
Seroepidemiology has revealed several important relationship, such as EBV antibody titer and Burkitts lymphoma and nasopharyngeal cancer, Australia antigen and α-fetoprotein positive primary hepatoma.
Relationship with autoimmune conditions was also found by seroepidemiology (high antinuclear antibody in nasopharyngeal cancer patients).
For leukemia, a significant clustering in time and space was demonstrated. Effect of pre and post natal radiation, relationship with malformation and consanguinity was also confirmed.
In summary, an epidemic model for cancer in man should be completed in an earliest time. Virtical spread of essential factors in high risk family plus certain horizontal factors in childhood and adulthood are postulated.
Future cancer control must be based on such epidemic models.
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