This study comparatively investigates the impacts of diversification and internationalization strategies on the performance of Japanese manufacturing firms during two major crises: the 2008 Global Financial Crisis( 2005–2010) and the COVID-19 pandemic (2017–2023). Using panel regression analysis on segmented data from firms listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange PRIME market, the results reveal significant contextual dependencies in strategy effectiveness.
From a baseline perspective, diversification consistently exhibits negative associations with performance, while internationalization demonstrates positive associations with firm performance. Importantly, how these strategies affect performance varies significantly depending on the nature of the crisis. During the financial crisis, diversification showed moderating effects that reduced the magnitude of performance declines. In contrast, such moderating effects were not observed during the COVID-19 pandemic. Regarding internationalization, the strategy exhibited negative moderating effects during the financial crisis but demonstrated significant positive moderating effects during the pandemic.
This study represents the first comparative empirical analysis demonstrating that strategy-performance relationships vary systematically across different external environmental characteristics. These findings extend existing theoretical understanding of how strategies affect performance and highlight the importance of considering crisis types in strategic decision-making.
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