Since the transition to civilization in 2011, Myanmar has attracted the interest of Japanese companies as the last frontier in Asia. With the inauguration of the NLD administration in 2016, it has been thought that the progress of democratization will be solid and there will be no turning back. Therefore, Japan has been working together with the public and private sectors to support Myanmar and advance into the business.
However, in the coup d’etat on February 1, 2021, things went awry. As international criticism of the armed forces that caused the coup d’etat intensified, Japanese companies continued to wait and see, exposing them to the risk of international sanctions, civil disobedience, and reputation.
Japanese companies need to be close to citizens, but they are in a difficult position between the armed forces that have become authorities and citizens.
Japanese companies did not see Myanmar’s political risks, but criticism of Myanmar has increased since the Rohingya issue became apparent in 2017. However, no concrete measures were taken because international sanctions were not yet enforced. As the criticism grows due to the coup d’etat, concrete measures are required.
After formulating a scenario in Myanmar in the future, retroactive measures are required, but in addition to dealing with old political risks, new measures for human rights issues and reputation risks are required. It suggested, the ability to manage investment risk in emerging countries is being questioned again.
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