Solar coronal holes are magnetically open and may give rise to an enhanced solar wind velocity with significance for geomagnetic activity. From a database of coronal hole observations covering 1970-1991 we have obtained a probabilistic relationship between hole central meridian passage (CMP) and subsequent geomagnetic activity. The mean lag between CMP of both equatorial holes and equatorward extensions of polar holes and the onset of geomagnetic activity, measured by the
Ap index, is 3-4 days, depending slightly on cycle phase. The peak
Ap at this lag and the number of geomagnetically “active” days, post-CMP, similarly follow the solar cycle. Weak relationships are noted between individual hole parameters, for example, latitude and area and
Ap. However this is put into context in a correlation study, over 1982-1986, of hole CMP, interplanetary field and plasma data, and
Ap. Relatively high cross-correlations (maximum ≤ 0.5) are found between daily-averaged, near-earth, solar wind velocity and
Ap. Only weak cross-correlations (≤0.15) are obtained between hole CMP and
Ap and this emphasises the significance of the interplanetary environment in modulating the energy transfer.
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