Journal of Information Processing and Management
Online ISSN : 1347-1597
Print ISSN : 0021-7298
ISSN-L : 0021-7298
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Volume 54, Issue 4
Displaying 1-11 of 11 articles from this issue
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Series:
  • Science of future approach : An overview of foresight
    Mari JIBU
    2011 Volume 54 Issue 4 Pages 200-210
    Published: 2011
    Released on J-STAGE: July 01, 2011
    DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1241/johokanri.54.200
    JOURNAL FREE ACCESS
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    Foresight based on an understanding and analysis of the external environment including economy and society and relevant methods are being developed. From this background, the methodology of the foresight was investigated and summarized. Today the uncertainty of changes in the external environment is becoming increasingly high. Organizations adopting scenario planning, in which multiple future scenarios are created based on uncertainties rather than prediction, are rising internationally. The utilization of scenario planning enables users to think flexibly about multiple patterns in the future environment without being stuck with simplistic future predictions, which lead to flexible strategy making. The number of cases in which scenario planning is adopted in public policy making is still small, but is expected to increase in the future as interest in its is growing internationally.
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