When considering offshore wind farm projects, it is essential to understand the wind conditions in the target sea area. However, in the wind resource assessment at the initial stage, wind farm developers will conduct only the assessment with a numerical model due to no observation data. In this study, in order to evaluate the prediction error of the numerical model, we compared the 0.1km-resolution WRF simulation data with observation data at Happo-Noshiro offshore site, Akita prefecture. We confirmed that WRF can generally well reproduce the annual mean wind speed and wind rose, having good correlations with the observations. However, it was also found that WRF predicted more smoother wind speed fluctuations than the observations, which appeared as characteristic errors in the frequency distribution of wind speed for a year. These errors, combined with the nonlinearity of a wind turbine power curve, was found to cause an underestimation of the annual energy production.
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