Acute increase in tuberculosis mortality between 1885 and 1910 could be explained by rapidly increased birth rate, consequently large expansion of noninfected population, and gradual increase in opportunity of contact with infectious patients by changing working environments and living conditions. Prevalence of tuberculosis patients was not so few in the beginning of Meiji era. Vicious spiral of increased young susceptibles, many infectious sources and increased opportunity of infection had been continued for long. Lower nutrition from infant to adult, hard work and poor living conditions had worsen prognosis of the patients.
Nation-wide tuberculosis control campaign, mainly avoiding contact with patients and contaminated materials had started around 1910 and then issued Factory act which had been improved working conditions in the factories, although the speed was very slow. Tuber culosis mortality began to decrease in 1910s, but sharp temporary rise of tuberculosis mortality was marked in 1918-19 by epidemic of influenza, then the mortality had been declined again. Excess mortality by influenza caused temporary reduction of infectious sources, which had affected mortality rate of tuberculosis in the younger ages after 1920. Large raise-up of wages for factory workers around 1920 and increase trend in income for other workers by economic growth since 1900 had been improved not only working and living conditions, but also dietary life with increased higher intake of animal foods.
Female excess deaths from tuberculosis comparing those of males had continued until 1930, then male mortality exceeded females. Mobilization of young women to spinning and textile industries in Meiji and Taisho eras forced to increase in tuberculosis mortality among them. Lower social status for females than males might contribute to the higher mortality rate, but gradual improvement of socioeconomical conditions seemed to induce a declining trend in female tuberculosis mortality in the 1910s. While male excess mortality had been started after 1931 by changing working conditions and lifestyles.
The reasons why women in puberty show higher incidence of tuberculosis even in better living conditions are not clear yet. Specific endocrinal changes in puberty may contribute to lower resistance to tuberculosis. Lower volumes of bone marrow and blood cells and other constituents and some different metabolic processes were shown as suggestion suggestive sex differences in puberty related to tuberculosis immunity. Periodical desquamation of epithelial layers of tracheobronchial trees at the time of menstruation was discussed in view of association with development of tuberculous processes.
Geographical differences in female tuberculosis mortality or in declining trend might be associated with prevalence of tuberculosis in the early period of the Meiji era, and socioeconomic and living conditions Migration of young population to urban areas might be one of the affecting factors in mortality or declining speed in the rural areas.
Japan experienced three big peaks of tuberculosis mortality in 1910, 1918-19 and 1944-45, and the above epidemiological findings may indicate that similar epidemic of tuberculosis can occur in the future when similar social, demographic and economical conditions be set in a community, where epidemic of tuberculosis have had before. Concept of herd immunity in tuberculosis may be better to be recognized as sociomedical than biological.
Tuberculosis epidemic affected by various factors except three major factors of infectious resource, susceptibels and way of infection, should carefully be analyzed from interdisciplinary standpoints.
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