Since the middle of the 1990s, when market principles were introduced, rice production in Japan has undergone several fundamental changes. One of the changes is that the number of large-scale rice farms has rapidly increased, leading to a reduction in the cost of rice production.
The purpose of our study was to clarify the regional characteristics and changing structure of large-scale rice growing areas in the Tohoku District using the 1980 and 2000 agricultural censuses and other related data.
The regional characteristics of 175 municipalities were analyzed using the principal component analysis method, and the structural change was analyzed using the cluster analysis (Ward's) method.
We used the principal component analysis method (26 variables, shown in Table 1) to analyze data for large-scale rice growing areas collected in 1980. Six components that had eigenvalues over unity (cumulative percentage of the total variance; 78.8%) were extracted. The characteristics of the components are shown in Table 2. The three major components can be defined agricultural labor force (eigenvalue: 9.0; percentage of total variance explained: 34.6%), management scale (4.2; 16.1%), and dependence on rice farming (2.7; 10.4%).
The principal component analysis (Ward's) method (26 variables, shown in Table 3) was used to analyze data for large-scale rice growing areas collected in 2000. Seven components that had eigenvalues over unity (cumulative percentage of the total variance; 79.8%) were extracted. The characteristics of the components are shown in Table 3. The three major components are defined agricultural labor force (eigenvalue: 8.3; percentage of total variance explained: 31.8%), management scale (4.3; 16.6%), and dependence on rice farming (2.7; 10.2%). These results suggest that the most important factor of large-scale rice growing areas is the availability of an agricultural labor force.
The spatial patterns were clarified using a typology of large-scale rice growing areas based on the first three components.
From 1980 to 2000, the large-scale rice growing area of Tohoku District was made up of normal large-scale rice growing areas and other areas. Four results were derived from a cluster analysis of 1980 and 2000 data (Fig. 4).
The results of the cluster analysis show that, in 1980, the large-scale rice growing area of Tohoku District was divided into four agricultural regions: Cluster I shows a “decrease in the agricultural labor force” area, Cluster II shows a “full agricultural labor force” area, Cluster III shows a “large-scale rice growing” area, and Cluster IV shows a “dependence on rice farming” area.
The results of the cluster analysis show that, in 2000, the large-scale rice growing area of Tohoku District was divided into four agricultural regions: a “normal large scale rice growing” area (in all of the area), a “full agricultural labor force” area (Niigata Plain), a “large scale rice growing” area (Shonai and Tsugaru), and a “rice farming recession” area (Fukushima Pref.).
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