Taking up the case of Ushiku City, Ibaraki, Japan, this study examines the situation of land vacancy in the outer suburbs of the Tokyo Metropolitan Region, where shrinking and growing parts are juxtaposed within a complicated patchwork of settlements. In order to discuss short-term planning approaches with regard to compact city policies, an examination of development period, changes in vacant lot quantity, and current land use was carried out along with a questionnaire survey focusing on the social aspects of land vacancy such as maintenance and utilization activities, opinions towards vacant lots, and residential satisfaction. Three districts were chosen to represent the key development patterns of the outer suburbs, in terms of development method and distance from the station. They are, a large-scale “last-minute development” built under the Former Housing and Urban Development Law in areas far from the station, a large-scale comprehensively planned development near the station using “land readjustment”, and small-scale
minikaihatsu, accumulating at the edge of the UPA.
The key finding was that the settlement near the station contained higher vacant lot rates, but opinions towards them were overall more positive compared to that of the settlement on the fringe of the UPA with fewer vacant lots. The settlement within the UCA contained the largest proportion of vacant lots, the majority of which were unmaintained, opinions towards them were negative, and residential satisfaction was contrastingly low. Results indicate how complementary short-term planning goals, defining levels of regulation and support, should be set at periodic intervals, according to how vacant lot rates may fluctuate in the near future, as well as the community's capacity to prevent negative externalities.
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