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  • 貫井 万里
    日本中東学会年報
    2003年 18 巻 1 号 159-185
    発行日: 2003/02/28
    公開日: 2018/03/30
    ジャーナル フリー
    The nationalization movement of oil industries was developed into a large-scale nationalization movement under Mohammad Mosadeq, a charismatic leader, by attracting most of Iranians who suffered during the depression after the WWII. The uprising on July 21, 1952 was caused the anti-Mosadeq alliance's attack on the Mosaddeq reformative policies. The anti-Mosadeq alliance consisted of the royalists, the pro-British faction and the pro-Qavam faction in Iran. On July 16, 1952, Anti-Mosadeq alliance and the British government maneuvered to make Mossadeq resign from office and Ahmad Qavam assume office as Prime Minister, in accordance with Loy Henderson, U.S. ambassador to Tehran. The Siom-e Tir (July 21) uprising was a historical incident that returned Mossadeq to the prime ministerial post again in consequence of national resistance. For a long time, the question of the main agent(s) behind the uprising has been a controversial focus reflected by actual politics, such as the cold war and the Islamic revolution in 1979. Some researchers believed that the main agent(s) was the Tudeh party (Iranian Communist Party). This opinion actually influenced the subsequent American diplomatic policy toward Iran. Some have insisted secular-nationalist leaders played an important role. Other have asserted that the famous political cleric, Ayatollah Kashani, performed a very significant role to mobilize Iranian people against Qavam and his patrons, the Foreign Powers. The aim of this paper is, therefore, to describe not the leader's role, but people's political action, especially the Tehran Bazzaris' one, during the uprising of July 21, 1952. The analysis employs mainly Qiyam-e Melli-ye Siom-e Tir compiled by Muhammad Torkaman. After observing the Bazaaris' collective action in detail, the study explains how the Bazaar people had a more significant role than previous researchers have suggested. To be more precise, they participated in the resistance in their own interests rather than under the unilateral order from religious or nationalist leaders
  • 中東:1970年代の政治変動
    高橋 和夫
    国際政治
    1983年 1983 巻 73 号 9-27,L6
    発行日: 1983/05/25
    公開日: 2010/09/01
    ジャーナル フリー
    Some argue that the Iranian Revolution is a reaction to the rapid modernization carried out by the Shah. According to others it is an “Islamic” revolution. The perceptions in part stem from the dominant role played by the traditional religious establishment in Iran. The former views it as a negative reactionary force, while the latter views it as a positive progressive one.
    Reality, however, lacks the neatness of these hypotheses. If the former is correct, then why was there no reaction in the period 1974-77 when the “modernization” drive was proceeding at full speed? Why did it come only in 1978 when the Iranian economy had already slowed down? On the other hand, if one attributes the cause of the revolution to the doctrine of Islam, particulary to its Shi'ite version, then one is again hard pressed to explain why the Shi'ite establishment could coexist with several Iranian monarchies for longer than four centuries since Safavid times. Why has the allegedly “revolutionary” ideology of Islam remained dormant for so long, only to be awakened in the late 1970s?
    This paper rejects both of the above hypotheses and argues instead that the particular set of economic, political and social conditions in Iran during the late 1970s is responsible for the revolution. The existence of the traditional social institutions of Iran, not the ideology of Islam, has given their guardians (Mullahs) the commanding position in the revolution. They are Madrese, Bazar, Zur Khane, and Taziyeh theater and others. The colonialists and their successors have emasculated these institutions in other Islamic societies, while in Iran they were left relatively untouched, for Anglo-Russian rivalry had kept Iran independent as a buffer state. Mutual antagonism between these parties prevented the development of Iran by concessionaires (oil being a conspicuous exception). The Mullahs utilized these traditional organizations to mobilize the disenchanted masses, first to overthrow the Shah, and then to overwhelm the liberals and the leftists.
    The other contributing factor is the historically enjoyed autonomy of the Iranian religious institutions from the state. Neither of these two elements exists in other Islamic countries. Therefore, we are unlikely to see another Iranian-type revolution.
    The perception of the revolution as “Islamic”, however, has boosted an already surging movement of Islamic Fundamentalism. The continuing failure of the Arab regimes to recover Palestine has been feeding this movement, especially since Nasser's defeat in 1967.
    The Fundamentalist forces have found an “ally” in an odd quarter, Begin's Israel. The revolutionaries in Iran and supporters outside see that the way to liberate Palestine lies in spreading the Islamic revolution into the Arab world. Thus they are hostile to the current Arab regimes. On the other hand, Israel is determined to first take on the immediate enemies such as Iraq and the PLO, ignoring the distant drums of Fundamentalists.
    Here, the short-term goal of Begin and Khomeini merge. As a matter of fact, Israel has aided Iran in the Gulf War in order to weaken Iraq. Begin is helping Fundamentalism indirectly, too. Israel's invasion of Lebanon has painfully proved the impotence of the Arab political leadership including that of the PLO. This has accelerated the growth of the Fundamentalist influence among Palestinians, engendering the distinctive possibility that Palestinian Fundamentalists may split the liberation movement by breaking away from the secular leadership of the PLO. Israel is not unmindful of this potential when it tolerates the inflow of Iranian influence and money into the West Bank.
    Thus, both religious states have practically entered an “alliance” of a sort against the moderate Arab leadership: Zionist Israel to defend Jerusalem, and Islamic Iran to liberate it.
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