2021 Volume 57 Issue 1 Pages 8-14
We made an AI-based model consisting of about 150 social elements such as population, GDP, aging interacting with each other. And we conducted 20,000 simulations regarding the future states of Japan towards 2050 and assessed them from the perspective of various dimensions of sustainability and various social conditions including employment, inequality, health and well-being. As a result, AI-based simulations and analysis showed the following things. 1) A fundamental divergence between “Localization” model and “Centralization” model is likely to occur in 8 to 10 years from now. 2) the “Localization” model based on local community and local economic circulations will be more desirable from the perspectives of demographic and local sustainability, health, equality and well-being of people. 3) AI-based simulations also showed that, in order to realize the “Localization” model, various policy measures are necessary and effective, such as developments of local renewable energy, strengthening of local public transportations, culture and ethics supporting local community, social policy for the formation of local assets etc.