FUZZY SIMULATION ON AIDS DISASTER IN JAPAN

Abstract

Patients of HTV (Human Immunodeficiency virus) are increasing more than 2 times in recent Japan. HIV causes acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS), and also is causing "National tragedy" by its incurable death dependent disease. We predicted the Japanese AIDS disaster using fuzzy theory. Two major membership factors such as effect of education and effectiveness of propagation were input. The computer program using fuzzy theory predicted long period of AIDS disaster as if the "National tragedy" would be the truly occurring event.