Future Forecast of Trade Amount and International Cargo Flow in the APEC Region: An Application of Trade-Logistics Forecasting Model

Abstract

When discussing a roadmap for realizing trade liberalization and efficient transport, a comprehension of the "quantitative effects" of the related policies could be highly supportive and suggestive. The authors had developed a successive prediction system of trade value and international cargo flow, which provides an effective tool for quantifying the impacts of trade and transport policy on international cargo shipping. In this paper, the forecasting system is arranged in order to support a discussion for realization of trade liberalization and efficient transport among APEC economies, called "Trade and Logistics Forecasting System for the APEC region".