2014 Volume 3 Issue 1 Pages 46-65
This paper presents the results of household auto/motorcycle ownership and joint mode and destination choice models that were developed based on two large-scale travel surveys conducted eight years apart. It compares the models and discusses implications of the changes that have occurred in the Jakarta Metropolitan Area in the last decade. Given that the context of the society does not change, both models should remain unchanged with fixed parameters over a period of time. However, the models that were estimated based on the surveys conducted in 2002 and 2010 indicated quite different parameters with different degrees of significance. Such implications may also be important and hence worth studying for other urban areas of the developing world, although similarities of the implications may be restricted to regions that have modal and cultural norms in common.