Transactions of the Institute of Systems, Control and Information Engineers
Online ISSN : 2185-811X
Print ISSN : 1342-5668
ISSN-L : 1342-5668
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A Proposal of Risk Assessment Method on Countermeasure against High Fatality Infectious Disease Using Agent-based Simulation
Masayuki IshinishiManabu IchikawaHideki TanumaHiroshi DeguchiYasuhiro Kanatani
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2014 Volume 27 Issue 7 Pages 319-325

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Abstract
This paper aims to propose a risk assessment method on countermeasure against infectious disease with high fatality rate using social simulation. We constructed a novel model which are able to visualize social vulnerability against outbreak of infectious disease such as smallpox. In this model, disease state transition of smallpox, infection process, social structure, human activity, social countermeasure, simulation condition that include parameters, and simulation results are described. We evaluate the social protection policies by an agent-based model using Spot Oriented Agent Role Simulator (SOARS). This model is able to visualize the risk of social vulnerability against smallpox and social vulnerability is different among generations.
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© 2014 The Institute of Systems, Control and Information Engineers
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