Forecast on Automobile CO₂ Emissions in Local city Areas by Gender and Age

Abstract

This study aims to determine the factors causing automobile CO₂ emissions increase, and to make forecasts toward year 2020. Rapid aging and a sharp decrease in population are expected to reduce CO₂ emissions in local city areas. However, analysing three factors, periodical, aging, and cohort, it is estimated that population will decrease, yet increased car dependency among elderly men and women across all age groups will lead to a increase of automobile CO₂ emissions.