Journal of the Japanese Association for Petroleum Technology
Online ISSN : 1881-4131
Print ISSN : 0370-9868
ISSN-L : 0370-9868
Future of petroleum resources
A study on production history, field size distribution and ultimate recoverable resources
Masazumi Inoue
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2004 Volume 69 Issue 6 Pages 679-691

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Abstract
Two well-known bell-shaped curves in the disucussion of petroleum resources, namely the "Hubbert curve" for production history and the log-normal curve for field size distribution were examined. The conclusion was that other curves are considered to be more appropriate for these purposes and its implication in the future of petroleum resources was discussed. The resulting ultimate recoverable resources were estimated to be 3-4 trillion barrels.
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