Journal of the Anus, Rectum and Colon
Online ISSN : 2432-3853
ISSN-L : 2432-3853
Original Research Article
Radiomics-based Machine Learning Approach to Predict Chemotherapy Responses in Colorectal Liver Metastases
Yuji MiyamotoTakeshi NakauraMayuko OhuchiKatsuhiro OgawaRikako KatoYuto MaedaKojiro EtoMasaaki IwatsukiYoshifumi BabaToshinori HiraiHideo Baba
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JOURNAL OPEN ACCESS

2025 Volume 9 Issue 1 Pages 117-126

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Abstract

Objectives: This study explored the clinical utility of CT radiomics-driven machine learning as a predictive marker for chemotherapy response in colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) patients.

Methods: We included 150 CRLM patients who underwent first-line doublet chemotherapy, dividing them into a training cohort (n=112) and a test cohort (n=38). We manually delineated three-dimensional tumor volumes, selecting the largest liver metastasis for measurement, using pretreatment portal-phase CT images and extracted 107 radiomics features. Treatment response was classified as responder (complete or partial response) or non-responder (stable or progressive disease), based on the best overall response according to RECIST criteria, version 1.1. Employing Random Forest and Boruta algorithms, we identified significant features for responder-non-responder differentiation. Radiomics signatures were developed and validated in the training cohort using five-fold cross-validation, and performance was assessed using the area under the curve (AUC).

Results: Among the patients, 91 (61%) were responders and 59 (39%) were non-responders. Variable selection with Boruta revealed three key parameters ( "DependenceVariance," "ClusterShade," and "RunVariance" ). In the training cohort, individual CT texture parameter AUCs ranged from 0.4 to 0.65, while the machine learning analysis incorporating all valid parameters exhibited a significantly higher AUC of 0.94 (p<0.01). The validation cohort also demonstrated strong predictive accuracy, with an AUC of 0.87 for treatment response.

Conclusions: This study highlights the potential of CT radiomics-driven machine learning in predicting chemotherapy responses among CRLM patients.

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© 2025 The Japan Society of Coloproctology

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