Development and Validation of a Risk Prediction Model for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease in Japanese Adults: The Hisayama Study

The following article which appeared in J Atheroscler Thromb, 2022; 29: 345-361, contained the error described below.

(on page 350)

Incorrect

Fig.1. Simplified point-based scoring system for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease

The predicted probability was determined using the following formula: $\hat{\mathrm{p}}$ =1−0.9696^{exp([total score＋points for age]×0.144−2.4767)}, where the points of 0, 5, 11, 16, and 20 for age were assigned to the age ranges of 40‒49, 50‒59, 60‒69, 70‒79, and ≥ 80 years, respectively. Probabilities are presented in green (low risk: ＜2.0% of the 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk, corresponding to the lowest 35% of the distribution in the population), yellow (middle risk: 2.0%–10.0%), and red (high risk: ≥ 10%, corresponding to the highest 20% of the distribution in the population). ^＊In the alternative simplified score that included serum non-HDL cholesterol instead of serum LDL cholesterol, the points for the predefined categories of serum non-HDL cholesterol (＜150, 150–169, 170–189, and ≥ 190 mg/dL) were 0, 1, 2, and 3, respectively.

Correct

Fig.1. Simplified point-based scoring system for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease

The predicted probability was determined using the following formula: $\hat{\mathrm{p}}$ =1−0.9696^{exp([total score＋points for age]×0.144−2.4767)}, where the points of 0, 5, 11, 16, and 20 for age were assigned to the age ranges of 40‒49, 50‒59, 60‒69, 70‒79, and ≥ 80 years, respectively. Probabilities are presented in green (low risk: ＜2.0% of the 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk, corresponding to the lowest 35% of the distribution in the population), yellow (middle risk: 2.0%–10.0%), and red (high risk: ≥ 10%, corresponding to the highest 20% of the distribution in the population). ^＊In the alternative simplified score that included serum non-HDL cholesterol instead of serum LDL cholesterol, the points for the predefined categories of serum non-HDL cholesterol (＜150, 150–169, 170–189, and ≥ 190 mg/dL) were 0, 1, 2, and 3, respectively.