Abstract
A new estimation method for learning progress distribution of self-paced programmed instruction is introduced in order to better evaluate the instructional program. The traditional program evaluation has been based on student performance for frame responses and scores of pre-and post-tests. This paper points out that learning progress distributions in time process should be utilized in order both to evaluate the program construction and to estimate student learning progress, as well as the traditional evaluation methods. First, this paper discusses differences between a self-paced programmed instruction and a group-paced instruction. Second, this paper describes the relation of learning progress distribution to frame response time distribution. Finally, this paper suggests(1)learning progress distribution models and these characteristics, (2)quantitative estimation of student learning progress, and(3)average response time estimation of each frame.
