Abstract
This study analyzed the impact of the state of emergency declarations for COVID-19 on food consumption using consumer purchase history data. We performed a regression discontinuity design using a random effect Tobit model. The main finding is that both the first and second declarations increased the budget share for uncooked food and reduced the budget share for eating out; however, a significant increase in budget share for cooked food was observed only after the second declaration. The effect of the declarations on the food budget share varied by family structure and household income.
