Abstract
The impact of rising oil prices on agricultural production in Japan remains uncertain. This study examines how increasing crude oil import prices influence agricultural production using an inter-regional CGE model. The findings indicate that agricultural production increased in Hokkaido but remained unchanged in Tofuken, which encompasses all regions in Japan excluding Hokkaido. Overall, agricultural production in Japan grew, driven by a decline in imports and an increase in exports. To enhance the agricultural sector's resilience to external factors such as increasing oil prices, it is essential to steadily expand agricultural product exports.
