2024 Volume 36 Issue 3 Pages 9-16
In this study, we made labor force projections in the accommodations, eating and drinking services industry by municipality using cohort-component method and cohort-change rate method, and compared the results from both methods. The results showed that while the cohort-component method indicates that many municipalities can continue to secure labor force in the future, the cohort-change rate method indicates that the labor force may decrease in many municipalities. This is because the data used for the estimation was for the period 2000-2020, which is a period when women and the elderly were increase their employment. This suggests that in order for the accommodations, eating and drinking services industry to secure its labor force in the future, it will be important to maintain the employment of the elderly and to hire young people, especially women, who are highly appropriate for this industry.
