Japanese Journal of Biometrics
Online ISSN : 2185-6494
Print ISSN : 0918-4430
ISSN-L : 0918-4430
Preliminary Report
Effective Size of Age-Structured Populations with Cyclic Change in Size
Tetsuro Nomura
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2008 Volume 29 Issue 1 Pages 45-59

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Abstract
Assuming a random mating population of monoecious diploid, I derived an expression for the effective size of an age-structured population that varies the size over time in cycles of a given length. From the asymptotic contributions of age groups to the coancestry after many repetitions of cycles, an equation for the effective population size per cycle was derived, which showed a different expression from the previously published equation. Effect of the discrepancy was numerically evaluated with a hypothetical ladybird population with seasonal periodicity in size. The equation derived in this study gave a reasonably precise value, while the published one underestimated the effective size. The effect of estimation error of the census population size on the estimate of the effective size was also evaluated with the obtained formulae.
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© 2008 The Biometric Society of Japan
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