The Japanese Journal of Nephrology and Pharmacotherapy
Online ISSN : 2189-8014
Print ISSN : 2187-0411
Brief Report
Prediction of the dose of varenicline tartrate in accordance with the kidney function and body weight using Monte Carlo simulation
Masahiko HayashiTetushi YaeKazuhiko ShibataTakaichi MiwaNaoyoshi MoriKazuya OoiSumio Hirata
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2015 Volume 4 Issue 1 Pages 3-8

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Abstract

[Purpose] We examined the area under the blood drug concentration-time curve (AUC) of varenicline in low-body-weight smokers with renal dysfunction.[Methods] We estimated the probability that the AUC may exceed 200, 250, 300, 350, or 400 ng・h/mL with respect to the dose of varenicline (2.0, 1.5, 1.0 mg/day) in patients with a body weight of 65 or 55 kg and creatinine clearance (CLcr) of 100, 60, or 40 mL/min by performing 10,000 sessions of Monte Carlo simulation based on population parameters. The effective AUC range was set at 200 to 300 ng・h/mL, and the nausea/vomiting appearance range at 300 ng・h/mL or more.[Results] The probability that the AUC may exceed 300 ng・h/mL was 0.1% when estimating it under the following conditions: body weight, 65 kg; dose, 2.0 mg/day; and CLcr, 100 mL/min. In patients with a CLcr of 40 mL/min, it was 100%. When administering varenicline at 1.5 mg/day to patients with a CLcr of 40 mL/min, the probability that the AUC may exceed 200 ng・h/mL was 99.9%. The probability that it may exceed 300 ng・h/mL was 34.0%.The probability that the AUC may exceed 200 and 300 ng・h/mL was 89.7 and 3.7%, respectively, when estimating it under the following conditions: body weight, 55 kg; dose, 2.0 mg/day; and CLcr, 100 mL/min. In patients with a CLcr of 60 mL/min, the probability that it may exceed 300 ng・h/mL was 84.2%. When administering varenicline at 1.5 mg/day to patients with a CLcr of 60 mL/min, the probability that the AUC may exceed 300 ng・h/mL was 8.6%. When administering varenicline at 1.0 mg/day to patients with a CLcr of 40 mL/min, the probability that it may exceed 200 ng・h/mL was 78.4%. The probability that the AUC may exceed 300 ng・h/mL was 2.9%.[Conclusion] Of patients weighing 65 kg, it was necessary to consider dose reduction to 1.5 mg/day in those with a CLcr of 40 mL/min. When weighing 55 kg, this was necessary in those with a CLcr of 60 mL/min. Dose reduction to 1.0 mg/day was necessary in those with a CLcr of 40 mL/min.

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© 2015 The Japanese Society of Nephrology and Pharmacotherapy
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