JOURNAL OF THE JAPAN SOCIETY FOR AERONAUTICAL AND SPACE SCIENCES
Online ISSN : 2432-3691
Print ISSN : 1344-6460
ISSN-L : 1344-6460
Articles
Current State and Future Forecast for Microsatellites Based on Success and Failure Analysis of Their Space Missions
Ryosuke ISHIIHironori SAHARA
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2012 Volume 60 Issue 2 Pages 65-73

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Abstract
We conducted various sorts of multiple classification analysis concerning CubeSats primarily developed by universities, based on information published on papers and websites. Single regression analysis led to a future forecast of the numbers of CubeSat launches, and logistic regression analysis predicted accomplishment probability of minimum and full success levels by CubeSats being launched on 2011. Furthermore, we clarified positions of the experienced countries of CubeSat launches, and indicated the direction they should progress for their developments. Thus, we here propose information sharing and collaborative development for beneficial change of CubeSat's success rate.
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© 2012 The Japan Society for Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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