THE JOURNAL OF JAPAN SOCIETY FOR CLINICAL ANESTHESIA
Online ISSN : 1349-9149
Print ISSN : 0285-4945
ISSN-L : 0285-4945
Case Reports
A Retrospective Cohort Study for the Prediction of In-hospital Mortality of Severely Burned Patients
Yujiro NAKAYAMA, Atsushi KOTERA, Naoki MIYAZAKI, Seiji KOUZUMA, Kenichiro TAKI, Hideo OHSHIMA
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2012 Volume 32 Issue 2 Pages 223-231

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Abstract
  We retrospectively collected data from 46 severely burned patients who underwent plastic surgery from February 1, 2006 to January 31, 2011. Area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve was defined as a measure of accuracy. In-hospital mortality rate was 26% (12/46). The AUC values were 0.88 for Burn Index, 0.85 for Prognostic Burn Index, 0.84 for Total Body Surface Area and 0.84 for White Blood Cell counts. These data suggest that White Blood Cell counts could predict in-hospital mortality accurately as well as Prognostic Burn Index or Total Body Surface Area in severely burned patients. But further studies are needed to validate these promising results.
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© 2012 by The Japan Society for Clinical Anesthesia
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