Abstract
A probabilistic method is proposed that will permit in the design stage to estimate quantitatively the likelihood with which any or all design criteria applicable to a nuclear reactor are actually satisfied after its construction. The method is trially applied to the core reac-tivity balance problem of the experimental Very High Temperature Reactor, and calculations are performed on the probability with which a design study core will, upon construction, satisfy design criteria concerning (a) one rod stuck and (b) startup margin. The method should prove useful in making engineering judgments before approving reactor core design.
