Disaggregate Modelling Techniques of Predicting Trip-Distribution

Abstract

It is one decade since disaggregate modelling techniques have been developed. The disaggregate procedures could overcome somewhat of the dissatisfaction with conventional travel demand models. But none of the papers clarified how to produce O-D tables with disaggregate models. Every paper described only the estimation techniques or destination choice models.
It is the purpose of this paper to develop the methodology to estimate O-D tables with disaggregate destination choice models in the case that the person-trip survey data are available. The partial replacement of aggregate sequential model systems with disaggregate one is discussed.
This study contains three important issues; estimation techniques, aggregation methods and introduction of total control. An example of the application to Maebashi metropolitan area is focused in order to evaluate some of the features of the methodology.